TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037562
Played Aug 29Finished
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711511––––
Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Hrybeniuk to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi above · Volodymyr Hrybeniuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 52 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Volodymyr Hrybeniuk at 66.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi 0–7 Volodymyr Hrybeniuk Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:01What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hrybeniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-7 in 7
Hrybeniuk
Correct
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dobrovolskyi 1412 vs Hrybeniuk 1467
Hrybeniuk
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dobrovolskyi 20% vs Hrybeniuk 60%
Hrybeniuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dobrovolskyi 20% vs Hrybeniuk 50%
Hrybeniuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dobrovolskyi -3 · Hrybeniuk +2
Dobrovolskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Hrybeniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dobrovolskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobrovolskyi 2.63 / Hrybeniuk 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Hrybeniuk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13037562
Dobrovolskyi2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 46 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back22% 21 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Hrybeniuk1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 112 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it87% 54 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it76% 87 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDobrovolskyi0wins
AwayHrybeniuk7wins
2 of 7 to a deciderHrybeniuk leads 7–0, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDobrovolskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHrybeniuk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dobrovolskyi2Hrybeniuk5n = 7Hrybeniuk took 5 of 7
S2Dobrovolskyi1Hrybeniuk6n = 7Hrybeniuk took 6 of 7
S3Dobrovolskyi3Hrybeniuk4n = 7Hrybeniuk took 4 of 7
S4Dobrovolskyi1Hrybeniuk4n = 5Hrybeniuk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricDobrovolskyiHrybeniukD − HBasisWins07−7in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match32.942.7−9.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobrovolskyiHrybeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 409 vs 171 / 33648.7%50.9%199 / 409 vs 171 / 336Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrybeniukDobrovolskyi 2.63/Hrybeniuk 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Hrybeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hrybeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 28 · 16:56V. Dobrovolskyi—11913442V. Hrybeniuk—5111111113
LAug 28 · 15:55V. Dobrovolskyi—610100V. Hrybeniuk—1112123
LAug 27 · 21:15V. Dobrovolskyi—811101172V. Hrybeniuk—119129113
LJul 4 · 13:55V. Dobrovolskyi—1351181V. Hrybeniuk—15118113
LJul 3 · 21:45V. Dobrovolskyi—281211V. Hrybeniuk—111110113
LMar 29 · 07:25V. Dobrovolskyi—119961V. Hrybeniuk—91111113
LMar 28 · 14:55V. Dobrovolskyi—9750V. Hrybeniuk—1111113
V. Dobrovolskyi10
LSep 1 · 19:05M. Slozka1.30121011113V. Dobrovolskyi3.401012381LSep 1 · 17:35V. Dobrovolskyi3.2511156732D. Maltsev1.335131111113LSep 1 · 15:35I. Pytsko1.2211119113V. Dobrovolskyi4.00771171LSep 1 · 13:35M. Potapov1.281111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.505460LSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 02:30I. Pytsko1.251171113113V. Dobrovolskyi3.7581181582LSep 1 · 01:30M. Slozka1.361111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.005510LSep 1 · 24:00V. Korobko1.831111113V. Dobrovolskyi1.836560LAug 31 · 22:00M. Potapov1.401111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.756940LAug 31 · 20:00V. Moshovskyi1.281111148113V. Dobrovolskyi3.50136121142
V. Hrybeniuk10
WAug 29 · 11:25I. Pytsko1.7341191182V. Hrybeniuk2.00115118113WAug 29 · 09:55V. Hrybeniuk2.381111113M. Slozka1.535980LAug 29 · 07:55I. Kvak1.44111195113V. Hrybeniuk2.6378111192LAug 29 · 05:55V. Kuzmych2.1011711113V. Hrybeniuk1.67711531WAug 28 · 16:56V. Hrybeniuk1.575111111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.2511913442WAug 28 · 15:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.63610100V. Hrybeniuk1.441112123LAug 28 · 14:25M. Slozka1.6111711113V. Hrybeniuk2.20511981WAug 28 · 12:55V. Kuzmych1.674830V. Hrybeniuk2.101111113LAug 28 · 11:55I. Pytsko1.9113811113V. Hrybeniuk1.801111381LAug 28 · 01:18V. Hrybeniuk3.404950M. Slozka1.301111113
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