TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037700
Played Aug 29Finished
Ihor Kvak
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117118911511119
Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeIhor Kvak to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Kvak above · Volodymyr Hrybeniuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ihor Kvak at 64.5%
93 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Kvak 3–0 Volodymyr Hrybeniuk Volodymyr Hrybeniuk has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kvak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Kvak
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kvak 1522 vs Hrybeniuk 1508
Kvak
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kvak 40% vs Hrybeniuk 60%
Hrybeniuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kvak 50% vs Hrybeniuk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kvak -3 · Hrybeniuk -1
Kvak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kvak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrybeniuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKvak 1.44 / Hrybeniuk 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Kvak)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037700
Kvak1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 22 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Hrybeniuk2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 60 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKvak3wins
AwayHrybeniuk0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKvak leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKvak100%3 of 3
AwayHrybeniukn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kvak3Hrybeniuk0n = 3Kvak took 3 of 3
S2Kvak2Hrybeniuk1n = 3Kvak took 2 of 3
S3Kvak2Hrybeniuk1n = 3Kvak took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKvakHrybeniukK − HBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match39.729.3+10.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKvakHrybeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 49 vs 174 / 34161.2%51%30 / 49 vs 174 / 341Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KvakKvak 1.44/Hrybeniuk 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Kvak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kvak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 29 · 07:55I. Kvak—111195113V. Hrybeniuk—78111192
WAug 16 · 07:55I. Kvak—1111113V. Hrybeniuk—4470
WJul 4 · 15:55I. Kvak—11611113V. Hrybeniuk—611551
I. Kvak10
WSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360LSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103LSep 2 · 11:35I. Kvak1.80117971M. Slozka1.9131111113LSep 2 · 09:35I. Pytsko1.508121111113I. Kvak2.50111013482LSep 2 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.83117411113I. Kvak1.8371111872LSep 2 · 06:35I. Kvak2.00113981M. Potapov1.7341111113LSep 2 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.4471111113I. Kvak2.63117991
V. Hrybeniuk10
WAug 29 · 11:25I. Pytsko1.7341191182V. Hrybeniuk2.00115118113WAug 29 · 09:55V. Hrybeniuk2.381111113M. Slozka1.535980LAug 29 · 05:55V. Kuzmych2.1011711113V. Hrybeniuk1.67711531WAug 29 · 04:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.637750V. Hrybeniuk1.441111113WAug 28 · 16:56V. Hrybeniuk1.575111111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.2511913442WAug 28 · 15:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.63610100V. Hrybeniuk1.441112123LAug 28 · 14:25M. Slozka1.6111711113V. Hrybeniuk2.20511981WAug 28 · 12:55V. Kuzmych1.674830V. Hrybeniuk2.101111113LAug 28 · 11:55I. Pytsko1.9113811113V. Hrybeniuk1.801111381LAug 28 · 01:18V. Hrybeniuk3.404950M. Slozka1.301111113
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