TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031532
Played Aug 28Finished
Mykola Slozka
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115711119118––
Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:08 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Volodymyr Hrybeniuk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 55.3%
73 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 18–13 Volodymyr Hrybeniuk Volodymyr Hrybeniuk has won 13 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-13 in 31
Slozka
Correct
gap of 5 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1530 vs Hrybeniuk 1439
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 80% vs Hrybeniuk 40%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 60% vs Hrybeniuk 40%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka -1 · Hrybeniuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.61 / Hrybeniuk 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Slozka)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13031532
Slozka1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 60 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it71% 45 of 63
Hrybeniuk2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 57 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka9wins
AwayHrybeniuk1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka100%6 of 6
AwayHrybeniuk25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka6Hrybeniuk4n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S2Slozka8Hrybeniuk2n = 10Slozka took 8 of 10
S3Slozka5Hrybeniuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Slozka5Hrybeniuk2n = 7Slozka took 5 of 7
S5Slozka3Hrybeniuk0n = 3Slozka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaHrybeniukS − HBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.234.6+4.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaHrybeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 749 vs 169 / 33343.7%50.8%327 / 749 vs 169 / 333Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaSlozka 1.61/Hrybeniuk 2.20
Hit
What we said
61.3%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 24:15M. Slozka—41111113V. Hrybeniuk—113771
WAug 23 · 04:25M. Slozka—411713113V. Hrybeniuk—112111192
LAug 22 · 17:25M. Slozka—8780V. Hrybeniuk—1111113
WAug 21 · 21:15M. Slozka—11128113V. Hrybeniuk—7101191
WAug 16 · 05:55M. Slozka—51311113V. Hrybeniuk—1111771
WAug 15 · 13:55M. Slozka—1111107103V. Hrybeniuk—89121172
WAug 14 · 21:15M. Slozka—1110116113V. Hrybeniuk—81271182
WAug 9 · 11:25M. Slozka—1111133V. Hrybeniuk—59110
WAug 8 · 18:55M. Slozka—1111113V. Hrybeniuk—7730
WAug 8 · 03:15M. Slozka—11115113V. Hrybeniuk—671191
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113
V. Hrybeniuk10
WAug 29 · 11:25I. Pytsko1.7341191182V. Hrybeniuk2.00115118113WAug 29 · 09:55V. Hrybeniuk2.381111113M. Slozka1.535980LAug 29 · 07:55I. Kvak1.44111195113V. Hrybeniuk2.6378111192LAug 29 · 05:55V. Kuzmych2.1011711113V. Hrybeniuk1.67711531WAug 29 · 04:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.637750V. Hrybeniuk1.441111113WAug 28 · 16:56V. Hrybeniuk1.575111111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.2511913442WAug 28 · 15:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.63610100V. Hrybeniuk1.441112123WAug 28 · 12:55V. Kuzmych1.674830V. Hrybeniuk2.101111113LAug 28 · 11:55I. Pytsko1.9113811113V. Hrybeniuk1.801111381LAug 28 · 01:18V. Hrybeniuk3.404950M. Slozka1.301111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.