TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12435657
Played Aug 15Finished
Oleksii Gazhula
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111012115611––
Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Hrybeniuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Gazhula above · Volodymyr Hrybeniuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Volodymyr Hrybeniuk at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Gazhula 9–7 Volodymyr Hrybeniuk Volodymyr Hrybeniuk has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:06What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hrybeniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Gazhula
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gazhula 1484 vs Hrybeniuk 1436
Gazhula
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gazhula 80% vs Hrybeniuk 0%
Gazhula
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gazhula 40% vs Hrybeniuk 20%
Gazhula
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gazhula -1 · Hrybeniuk -5
Hrybeniuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gazhula) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrybeniuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGazhula 1.83 / Hrybeniuk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gazhula)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12435657
Gazhula1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Hrybeniuk1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGazhula6wins
AwayHrybeniuk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGazhula leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGazhula85.7%6 of 7
AwayHrybeniuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gazhula7Hrybeniuk3n = 10Gazhula took 7 of 10
S2Gazhula6Hrybeniuk4n = 10Gazhula took 6 of 10
S3Gazhula8Hrybeniuk2n = 10Gazhula took 8 of 10
S4Gazhula2Hrybeniuk4n = 6Hrybeniuk took 4 of 6
S5Gazhula1Hrybeniuk2n = 3Hrybeniuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGazhulaHrybeniukG − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.635.8+2.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGazhulaHrybeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 487 vs 157 / 30248.3%52%235 / 487 vs 157 / 302Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GazhulaGazhula 1.83/Hrybeniuk 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gazhula · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrybeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 01:15O. Gazhula—20149113V. Hrybeniuk—18121171
LAug 9 · 04:55O. Gazhula—1141281V. Hrybeniuk—131110113
WAug 8 · 13:25O. Gazhula—111273V. Hrybeniuk—91060
LAug 7 · 21:45O. Gazhula—71111111V. Hrybeniuk—11136133
WJul 25 · 04:55O. Gazhula—1114118113V. Hrybeniuk—51681172
LJul 24 · 15:55O. Gazhula—11721152V. Hrybeniuk—611119113
LJul 16 · 23:15O. Gazhula—31112472V. Hrybeniuk—1181011113
WJul 15 · 12:25O. Gazhula—1111113V. Hrybeniuk—4450
WJun 26 · 11:55O. Gazhula—1111113V. Hrybeniuk—5960
WJun 25 · 21:45O. Gazhula—1111113V. Hrybeniuk—6840
O. Gazhula10
WAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660WAug 15 · 16:25O. Gazhula1.83141193O. Lutsyshyn1.8312880LAug 15 · 14:55O. Gazhula1.5012101071M. Slozka2.50101212113LAug 15 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.83116111172I. Pytsko1.83511813113LAug 15 · 02:15M. Potapov1.531112113O. Gazhula2.3891080WAug 15 · 01:15O. Gazhula1.8320149113V. Hrybeniuk1.8318121171WAug 15 · 24:15O. Gazhula1.91111011113I. Pytsko1.80512861WAug 14 · 22:45O. Gazhula1.6716111011133M. Slozka2.10185124112WAug 14 · 20:45O. Gazhula1.9111113113O. Lutsyshyn1.80381131LAug 9 · 10:25I. Fashchevskyi2.00116116113O. Gazhula1.7391131182
V. Hrybeniuk10
WAug 29 · 11:25I. Pytsko1.7341191182V. Hrybeniuk2.00115118113WAug 29 · 09:55V. Hrybeniuk2.381111113M. Slozka1.535980LAug 29 · 07:55I. Kvak1.44111195113V. Hrybeniuk2.6378111192LAug 29 · 05:55V. Kuzmych2.1011711113V. Hrybeniuk1.67711531WAug 29 · 04:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.637750V. Hrybeniuk1.441111113WAug 28 · 16:56V. Hrybeniuk1.575111111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.2511913442WAug 28 · 15:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.63610100V. Hrybeniuk1.441112123LAug 28 · 14:25M. Slozka1.6111711113V. Hrybeniuk2.20511981WAug 28 · 12:55V. Kuzmych1.674830V. Hrybeniuk2.101111113LAug 15 · 01:15O. Gazhula1.8320149113V. Hrybeniuk1.8318121171
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