TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12428554
Played Aug 15Finished
Oleksii Gazhula
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
20181412911117––
Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Hrybeniuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksii Gazhula above · Volodymyr Hrybeniuk below
Set 1 · 20-18
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 102 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Volodymyr Hrybeniuk at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Gazhula 8–7 Volodymyr Hrybeniuk Volodymyr Hrybeniuk has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:30What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hrybeniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gazhula 1486 vs Hrybeniuk 1457
Gazhula
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gazhula 60% vs Hrybeniuk 20%
Gazhula
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gazhula 50% vs Hrybeniuk 20%
Gazhula
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gazhula +3 · Hrybeniuk -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gazhula) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrybeniuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGazhula 1.83 / Hrybeniuk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gazhula)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12428554
Gazhula1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Hrybeniuk1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGazhula6wins
AwayHrybeniuk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGazhula leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGazhula85.7%6 of 7
AwayHrybeniuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gazhula7Hrybeniuk3n = 10Gazhula took 7 of 10
S2Gazhula6Hrybeniuk4n = 10Gazhula took 6 of 10
S3Gazhula8Hrybeniuk2n = 10Gazhula took 8 of 10
S4Gazhula2Hrybeniuk4n = 6Hrybeniuk took 4 of 6
S5Gazhula1Hrybeniuk2n = 3Hrybeniuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGazhulaHrybeniukG − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.034.8+2.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGazhulaHrybeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 485 vs 157 / 30048.3%52.3%234 / 485 vs 157 / 300Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GazhulaGazhula 1.83/Hrybeniuk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gazhula · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gazhula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 9 · 04:55O. Gazhula—1141281V. Hrybeniuk—131110113
WAug 8 · 13:25O. Gazhula—111273V. Hrybeniuk—91060
LAug 7 · 21:45O. Gazhula—71111111V. Hrybeniuk—11136133
WJul 25 · 04:55O. Gazhula—1114118113V. Hrybeniuk—51681172
LJul 24 · 15:55O. Gazhula—11721152V. Hrybeniuk—611119113
LJul 16 · 23:15O. Gazhula—31112472V. Hrybeniuk—1181011113
WJul 15 · 12:25O. Gazhula—1111113V. Hrybeniuk—4450
WJun 26 · 11:55O. Gazhula—1111113V. Hrybeniuk—5960
WJun 25 · 21:45O. Gazhula—1111113V. Hrybeniuk—6840
WJun 18 · 05:55O. Gazhula—14112113V. Hrybeniuk—1261191
O. Gazhula10
WAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660WAug 15 · 16:25O. Gazhula1.83141193O. Lutsyshyn1.8312880LAug 15 · 14:55O. Gazhula1.5012101071M. Slozka2.50101212113LAug 15 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.83116111172I. Pytsko1.83511813113LAug 15 · 11:55O. Gazhula1.837101161V. Hrybeniuk1.8311125113LAug 15 · 02:15M. Potapov1.531112113O. Gazhula2.3891080WAug 15 · 24:15O. Gazhula1.91111011113I. Pytsko1.80512861WAug 14 · 22:45O. Gazhula1.6716111011133M. Slozka2.10185124112WAug 14 · 20:45O. Gazhula1.9111113113O. Lutsyshyn1.80381131LAug 9 · 10:25I. Fashchevskyi2.00116116113O. Gazhula1.7391131182
V. Hrybeniuk10
WAug 29 · 11:25I. Pytsko1.7341191182V. Hrybeniuk2.00115118113WAug 29 · 09:55V. Hrybeniuk2.381111113M. Slozka1.535980LAug 29 · 07:55I. Kvak1.44111195113V. Hrybeniuk2.6378111192LAug 29 · 05:55V. Kuzmych2.1011711113V. Hrybeniuk1.67711531WAug 29 · 04:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.637750V. Hrybeniuk1.441111113WAug 28 · 16:56V. Hrybeniuk1.575111111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.2511913442WAug 28 · 15:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.63610100V. Hrybeniuk1.441112123LAug 28 · 14:25M. Slozka1.6111711113V. Hrybeniuk2.20511981WAug 28 · 12:55V. Kuzmych1.674830V. Hrybeniuk2.101111113WAug 15 · 11:55O. Gazhula1.837101161V. Hrybeniuk1.8311125113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.