TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12427761
Played Aug 15Finished
Oleksii Gazhula
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151012118116––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksii Gazhula above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 54.5%
74 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Gazhula 13–19 Ivan Pytsko Oleksii Gazhula has won 13 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pytsko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-19 in 32
Pytsko
Wrong
gap of 6 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gazhula 1474 vs Pytsko 1476
Pytsko
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gazhula 40% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gazhula 40% vs Pytsko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gazhula +2 · Pytsko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gazhula form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGazhula 1.91 / Pytsko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Pytsko)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12427761
Gazhula1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 45 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Pytsko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 46 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it70% 37 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGazhula4wins
AwayPytsko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPytsko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGazhula66.7%4 of 6
AwayPytsko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gazhula6Pytsko4n = 10Gazhula took 6 of 10
S2Gazhula5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S3Gazhula5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S4Gazhula3Pytsko3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGazhulaPytskoG − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.536.1−0.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGazhulaPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 484 vs 312 / 56348.1%55.4%233 / 484 vs 312 / 563Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoGazhula 1.91/Pytsko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gazhula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 8 · 17:55O. Gazhula—1113113I. Pytsko—91180
LAug 7 · 20:15O. Gazhula—129101392I. Pytsko—10111211113
WJul 25 · 09:25O. Gazhula—1111113I. Pytsko—6590
LJul 24 · 18:25O. Gazhula—3111181I. Pytsko—11139113
LMar 4 · 11:35O. Gazhula—6480I. Pytsko—1111113
WMar 3 · 19:05O. Gazhula—11126113I. Pytsko—4101191
LFeb 25 · 11:25O. Gazhula—111181192I. Pytsko—138112113
LFeb 24 · 18:55O. Gazhula—591261I. Pytsko—111110103
WFeb 24 · 03:00O. Gazhula—1111113I. Pytsko—5860
LFeb 18 · 10:25O. Gazhula—115661I. Pytsko—81111113
O. Gazhula10
WAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660WAug 15 · 16:25O. Gazhula1.83141193O. Lutsyshyn1.8312880LAug 15 · 14:55O. Gazhula1.5012101071M. Slozka2.50101212113LAug 15 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.83116111172I. Pytsko1.83511813113LAug 15 · 11:55O. Gazhula1.837101161V. Hrybeniuk1.8311125113LAug 15 · 02:15M. Potapov1.531112113O. Gazhula2.3891080WAug 15 · 01:15O. Gazhula1.8320149113V. Hrybeniuk1.8318121171WAug 14 · 22:45O. Gazhula1.6716111011133M. Slozka2.10185124112WAug 14 · 20:45O. Gazhula1.9111113113O. Lutsyshyn1.80381131LAug 9 · 10:25I. Fashchevskyi2.00116116113O. Gazhula1.7391131182
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131WAug 15 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.83116111172I. Pytsko1.83511813113
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