TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12378779
Played Aug 8Finished
Volodymyr Ivasiv
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11891112141210119
Ruslan Novak
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Ivasiv to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Ivasiv above · Ruslan Novak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 107 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Ivasiv at 54.0%
107 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Ivasiv 43–59 Ruslan Novak Volodymyr Ivasiv has won 43 of their 102 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:37What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Novak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-59 in 102
Novak
Wrong
gap of 16 in 102, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivasiv 1525 vs Novak 1544
Novak
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivasiv 40% vs Novak 60%
Novak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivasiv 40% vs Novak 60%
Novak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivasiv -1 · Novak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ivasiv)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvasiv 2.00 / Novak 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ivasiv)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #12378779
Ivasiv2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 100 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 70
Novak1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 126 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it90% 78 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it75% 95 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvasiv3wins
AwayNovak7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNovak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvasiv60%3 of 5
AwayNovak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivasiv5Novak5n = 10split evenly
S2Ivasiv3Novak7n = 10Novak took 7 of 10
S3Ivasiv6Novak4n = 10Ivasiv took 6 of 10
S4Ivasiv3Novak2n = 5Ivasiv took 3 of 5
S5Ivasiv0Novak3n = 3Novak took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvasivNovakI − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.538.5−4.0per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvasivNovakBasisWin rate · lifetime553 / 1152 vs 276 / 51548%53.6%553 / 1152 vs 276 / 515Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvasivIvasiv 2.00/Novak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ivasiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ivasiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 02:30V. Ivasiv—1211113R. Novak—10850
WJul 27 · 11:05V. Ivasiv—1111113R. Novak—6580
LJul 26 · 14:35V. Ivasiv—10171221R. Novak—121910113
LJul 25 · 22:00V. Ivasiv—51160R. Novak—1113113
LJul 20 · 11:05V. Ivasiv—712121492R. Novak—11141012113
WJul 19 · 16:35V. Ivasiv—1211113R. Novak—10390
LJul 13 · 09:35V. Ivasiv—8140R. Novak—1111113
LJul 11 · 23:00V. Ivasiv—13321272R. Novak—11111110113
LJul 6 · 11:35V. Ivasiv—4101191R. Novak—11126113
LJul 5 · 15:05V. Ivasiv—11841192R. Novak—711119113
V. Ivasiv10
WAug 10 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk2.63521211V. Ivasiv1.44111110113WAug 10 · 10:05O. Rodin1.674890V. Ivasiv2.101111113WAug 10 · 08:35M. Khomenko1.919811101V. Ivasiv1.8011116123WAug 10 · 06:35Y. Kolos1.441169101V. Ivasiv2.6371111123LAug 10 · 04:35O. Alieksieev1.571111113V. Ivasiv2.258650LAug 9 · 19:05O. Alieksieev1.67111111113V. Ivasiv2.10913621LAug 9 · 17:35V. Ivasiv2.00116131072O. Rodin1.73511111293WAug 9 · 15:35V. Kovalchuk2.5010460V. Ivasiv1.501211113WAug 9 · 13:35R. Novak1.734540V. Ivasiv2.001111113WAug 9 · 12:35M. Khomenko1.8011470V. Ivasiv1.911311113
R. Novak10
WSep 11 · 21:15V. Korobko4.335101151R. Novak1.2011124113WAug 9 · 18:05R. Novak1.57111115113M. Khomenko2.25561781WAug 9 · 16:35R. Novak1.531111113V. Kovalchuk2.387730LAug 9 · 15:05R. Novak3.502590O. Alieksieev1.281111113LAug 9 · 13:35R. Novak1.734540V. Ivasiv2.001111113LAug 9 · 12:05R. Novak2.38107100O. Rodin1.531211123LAug 9 · 03:00R. Novak2.754460O. Alieksieev1.401111113WAug 9 · 01:00M. Khomenko2.20114461R. Novak1.6171111113WAug 8 · 22:00R. Novak2.6311811113O. Rodin1.44811481WAug 8 · 21:00Y. Vorsuliak1.44911461R. Novak2.6311611113
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