TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12355630
Played Aug 3Finished
Dominik Tichy
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1189111012811––
Milan Tlusty
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:55 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeMilan Tlusty to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Tichy above · Milan Tlusty below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 80 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Milan Tlusty at 63.8%
80 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Tichy 0–6 Milan Tlusty Dominik Tichy has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Tlusty
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-6 in 6
Tlusty
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tichy 1493 vs Tlusty 1555
Tlusty
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tichy 40% vs Tlusty 60%
Tlusty
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tichy 60% vs Tlusty 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tichy -2 · Tlusty -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Tlusty)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTichy 2.20 / Tlusty 1.61
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Tlusty)+6.0pp
TT Cup · #12355630
Tichy2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog51% won 20 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back30% 6 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Tlusty1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 107 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it87% 39 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it76% 69 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeTichy0wins
AwayTlusty6wins
Tlusty leads 6–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTichyn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTlusty100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tichy1Tlusty5n = 6Tlusty took 5 of 6
S2Tichy2Tlusty4n = 6Tlusty took 4 of 6
S3Tichy1Tlusty5n = 6Tlusty took 5 of 6
S4Tichy0Tlusty4n = 4Tlusty took 4 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away467%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricTichyTlustyTichy − TlustyBasisWins06−6in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match31.239.8−8.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTichyTlustyBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 208 vs 288 / 54367.3%53%140 / 208 vs 288 / 543Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TlustyTichy 2.20/Tlusty 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Tlusty · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tlusty won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 3 · 16:50D. Tichy—1191081M. Tlusty—81112113
LJul 22 · 16:50D. Tichy—8111071M. Tlusty—11912113
LJul 17 · 15:20D. Tichy—91050M. Tlusty—1112113
LJul 16 · 15:50D. Tichy—511971M. Tlusty—11811113
LJul 11 · 18:25D. Tichy—11611111M. Tlusty—13118133
LJul 11 · 17:25D. Tichy—26100M. Tlusty—1111123
D. Tichy10
WSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123WSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113LSep 5 · 16:25Z. Zahradka2.25111111113D. Tichy1.57913441LSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 1 · 01:20J. Cerny2.2011136113D. Tichy1.618111161WAug 31 · 17:18M. Beran1.67711511102D. Tichy2.10117116123LAug 31 · 15:50M. Beran1.61111111113D. Tichy2.20551341LAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy2.0091171162P. Moravec1.73116118113LAug 30 · 14:28D. Tichy1.531110711102J. Kulveit2.38712113123WAug 30 · 13:25J. Melichar1.837411121D. Tichy1.8311118143
M. Tlusty10
WAug 5 · 10:29M. Filipek2.251013991M. Tlusty1.57121111113LAug 5 · 09:25M. Filipek2.63111111123M. Tlusty1.441385101WAug 5 · 08:25M. Tlusty1.7311811113R. Jamrich2.00611981WAug 5 · 06:55A. Kral3.00135341M. Tlusty1.36111111113WAug 4 · 14:00D. Sykora1.504119101M. Tlusty2.5011711123LAug 4 · 12:20D. Sykora1.531111113M. Tlusty2.385570WAug 4 · 11:50A. Rek1.4411781142M. Tlusty2.63711115113WAug 4 · 10:50M. Tlusty3.40211311113O. Varecka1.3011311972WAug 3 · 18:00J. Dvorak1.855780M. Tlusty1.851111113LAug 3 · 15:50M. Tlusty1.731131061J. Dvorak2.0081112113
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