TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12354767
Played Aug 3Finished
Karel Polak
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811611116711––
Jakub Mejzlik
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingKarel Polak above · Jakub Mejzlik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Karel Polak 6–4 Jakub Mejzlik Jakub Mejzlik has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Mejzlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mejzlik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolak 1.73 / Mejzlik 2.00
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Mejzlik)+10.0pp
Setka Cup · #12354767
Polak1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 28 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Mejzlik2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 32 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolak6wins
AwayMejzlik4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPolak leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolak66.7%2 of 3
AwayMejzlik42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polak3Mejzlik7n = 10Mejzlik took 7 of 10
S2Polak5Mejzlik5n = 10split evenly
S3Polak7Mejzlik3n = 10Polak took 7 of 10
S4Polak6Mejzlik4n = 10Polak took 6 of 10
S5Polak3Mejzlik2n = 5Polak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolakMejzlikP − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.141.3+0.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolakMejzlikBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 305 vs 153 / 30650.5%50%154 / 305 vs 153 / 306Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MejzlikPolak 1.73/Mejzlik 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.3%
Mejzlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mejzlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 06:30K. Polak491311111042J. Mejzlik50157512113
LJul 6 · 08:00K. Polak30841441J. Mejzlik45111112113
WApr 21 · 09:09K. Polak4371114113J. Mejzlik341131281
WApr 21 · 05:30K. Polak495101112113J. Mejzlik49111271092
WApr 13 · 09:08K. Polak4111811113J. Mejzlik28411851
WApr 13 · 07:00K. Polak3611113113J. Mejzlik29671151
WJan 20 · 14:15K. Polak48611911113J. Mejzlik4311811582
LOct 19 · 08:00K. Polak45671111102J. Mejzlik48111186123
WOct 18 · 20:53K. Polak45811114113J. Mejzlik4211391182
LOct 18 · 19:45K. Polak351248111J. Mejzlik45101111133
K. Polak10
LSep 17 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.00137157113K. Polak1.731111131152LSep 17 · 13:30J. Blazek2.251111113K. Polak1.579960LAug 9 · 08:33J. Seeman2.2011119133K. Polak1.617811111LAug 9 · 07:30K. Polak1.83531291K. Jirousek1.83111110113LAug 9 · 06:30K. Polak2.1071181192J. Hanacek1.67117117113WAug 9 · 05:30K. Polak1.5011117113J. Seeman2.50651181WAug 4 · 08:44P. Moulis2.5011511682K. Polak1.50611911113LAug 4 · 07:30K. Polak1.4431151192P. Moulis2.63115116113WAug 4 · 06:30K. Polak1.5711126113J. Puk2.255101191WAug 4 · 05:30K. Polak1.671111113J. Seeman2.109590
J. Mejzlik10
LSep 14 · 08:33M. Vorel1.9111411113J. Mejzlik1.80811731LSep 14 · 07:30J. Mejzlik1.734115111O. Plyska2.0011711133WSep 14 · 06:30J. Mejzlik1.83813811113M. Vorel1.83111111462LSep 14 · 05:30J. Mejzlik1.731714431A. Dvoracek2.00191211113LSep 13 · 21:03J. Hanacek2.251171110113J. Mejzlik1.5781181282WSep 13 · 19:30J. Mejzlik1.53147811143J. Jnr2.381211118122WSep 13 · 18:30J. Mejzlik1.801112113J. Hanacek1.9171030WSep 13 · 17:30J. Mejzlik1.5311117113P. Moulis2.38741191LSep 9 · 21:08J. Mejzlik2.108680O. Karpisek1.671111113WSep 9 · 20:00J. Mejzlik3.004111311113M. Vana1.36119111382
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