TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12359755
Played Aug 4Finished
Pavel Moulis
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116511119611811
Karel Polak
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPavel Moulis above · Karel Polak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 89 set 5, 8-11
89 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Moulis 2–6 Karel Polak Pavel Moulis has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Polak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoulis 2.50 / Polak 1.50
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Polak)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12359755
Moulis2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 21 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back23% 6 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Polak1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 29 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMoulis2wins
AwayPolak6wins
2 of 8 to a deciderPolak leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoulis66.7%2 of 3
AwayPolak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moulis3Polak5n = 8Polak took 5 of 8
S2Moulis2Polak6n = 8Polak took 6 of 8
S3Moulis3Polak5n = 8Polak took 5 of 8
S4Moulis2Polak4n = 6Polak took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricMoulisPolakM − PBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match35.140.5−5.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoulisPolakBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 459 vs 156 / 30947.3%50.5%217 / 459 vs 156 / 309Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolakMoulis 2.50/Polak 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Polak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Polak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 4 · 07:30P. Moulis44115116113K. Polak3931151192
LApr 13 · 05:30P. Moulis2013340K. Polak371511113
LApr 6 · 09:03P. Moulis379111341K. Polak46111311113
LApr 6 · 08:00P. Moulis371091171K. Polak4012116113
LJan 11 · 14:45P. Moulis315115101K. Polak4311911123
LDec 20 · 13:21P. Moulis4511591192K. Polak46611117113
WDec 20 · 12:15P. Moulis4511118153K. Polak407911131
LDec 19 · 11:00P. Moulis226790K. Polak331111113
P. Moulis10
LSep 17 · 12:29P. Moulis1.731161111112J. Seeman2.00311138133LSep 17 · 12:00L. Krutina1.911111113P. Moulis1.807680LSep 17 · 11:00J. Jnr2.001111113P. Moulis1.734490LSep 17 · 09:30J. Seeman2.1041115113P. Moulis1.671191351LSep 15 · 12:38M. Obraz1.531111113P. Moulis2.388470WSep 15 · 11:30P. Moulis1.911481116113J. Blazek1.80161181492LSep 15 · 10:30P. Moulis2.25118111252M. Obraz1.57311714113LSep 15 · 09:30P. Moulis1.5731111952J. Jnr2.25119711113WSep 13 · 20:35P. Moulis1.441112123J. Jnr2.63910100LSep 13 · 20:00J. Hanacek1.4411117113P. Moulis2.63891161
K. Polak10
LSep 17 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.00137157113K. Polak1.731111131152LSep 17 · 13:30J. Blazek2.251111113K. Polak1.579960LAug 9 · 08:33J. Seeman2.2011119133K. Polak1.617811111LAug 9 · 07:30K. Polak1.83531291K. Jirousek1.83111110113LAug 9 · 06:30K. Polak2.1071181192J. Hanacek1.67117117113WAug 9 · 05:30K. Polak1.5011117113J. Seeman2.50651181LAug 4 · 07:30K. Polak1.4431151192P. Moulis2.63115116113WAug 4 · 06:30K. Polak1.5711126113J. Puk2.255101191WAug 4 · 05:30K. Polak1.671111113J. Seeman2.109590LAug 3 · 09:08K. Polak1.73861171J. Mejzlik2.0011116113
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