TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12333815
Played Jul 31Finished
Anton Molochko
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311511511––––
Vadym Hryban
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeVadym Hryban to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Molochko above · Vadym Hryban below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 46 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Vadym Hryban at 59.5%
46 points played in total.
H2H Anton Molochko 40–75 Vadym Hryban Anton Molochko has won 40 of their 115 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:38What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hryban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-75 in 115
Hryban
Correct
gap of 35 in 115, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molochko 1986 vs Hryban 1919
Molochko
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molochko 40% vs Hryban 20%
Molochko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molochko 70% vs Hryban 30%
Molochko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molochko +2 · Hryban -3
Hryban
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hryban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryban form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolochko 2.50 / Hryban 1.50
Signal prob.41% / 60%
Edge (Hryban)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12333815
Molochko2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 72 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back27% 31 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 63
Hryban1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 261 of 411
Up 2–0, closes it94% 137 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it78% 189 of 243
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolochko5wins
AwayHryban5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolochko66.7%2 of 3
AwayHryban57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molochko3Hryban7n = 10Hryban took 7 of 10
S2Molochko3Hryban7n = 10Hryban took 7 of 10
S3Molochko6Hryban4n = 10Molochko took 6 of 10
S4Molochko3Hryban5n = 8Hryban took 5 of 8
S5Molochko5Hryban2n = 7Molochko took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolochkoHrybanM − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.043.1−2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolochkoHrybanBasisWin rate · lifetime565 / 963 vs 324 / 52258.7%62.1%565 / 963 vs 324 / 522Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrybanMolochko 2.50/Hryban 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.5%
Hryban · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hryban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 31 · 07:55A. Molochko—3550V. Hryban—1111113
LJul 30 · 17:25A. Molochko—11126682V. Hryban—8101111113
LJul 28 · 04:25A. Molochko—85111192V. Hryban—111198113
LJul 27 · 12:55A. Molochko—6960V. Hryban—1111113
WJul 23 · 17:25A. Molochko—681111143V. Hryban—111174122
WJul 21 · 08:05A. Molochko—811116113V. Hryban—11751192
WJul 20 · 12:35A. Molochko—1251110113V. Hryban—101171272
WJul 17 · 07:25A. Molochko—1111912113V. Hryban—75111472
WJul 16 · 17:28A. Molochko—871111113V. Hryban—11116792
LJul 16 · 16:25A. Molochko—10131171V. Hryban—12153113
A. Molochko10
WSep 7 · 12:05A. Molochko1.201191210113A. Zeniuk4.33811101272LSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262WSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560WSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431WSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110LSep 4 · 07:55A. Molochko1.5751214792V. Verbyany2.2511101211113WSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561
V. Hryban10
LJul 31 · 11:25B. Kohut2.631111113V. Hryban1.447760WJul 31 · 09:55V. Hryban1.80411128123N. Danyliuk1.911181011102LJul 31 · 05:55V. Verbyany2.75431111113V. Hryban1.4011119772LJul 31 · 04:55A. Zeniuk3.00781111113V. Hryban1.3611113682LJul 30 · 18:25V. Verbyany3.001311911143V. Hryban1.36155119122WJul 30 · 17:25A. Molochko2.5011126682V. Hryban1.508101111113LJul 30 · 15:55A. Zeniuk3.2561111143V. Hryban1.331195121WJul 30 · 13:55N. Danyliuk1.914790V. Hryban1.801111113LJul 30 · 11:55B. Kohut2.751111105113V. Hryban1.4066121182LJul 28 · 08:55B. Kohut2.75118116123V. Hryban1.40911911102
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