TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12323148
Played Jul 30Finished
Anton Molochko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181210611611811
Vadym Hryban
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeVadym Hryban to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Molochko above · Vadym Hryban below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 94 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Vadym Hryban at 59.5%
94 points played in total.
H2H Anton Molochko 37–71 Vadym Hryban Anton Molochko has won 37 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:59What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hryban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-71 in 108
Hryban
Correct
gap of 34 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molochko 2011 vs Hryban 1932
Molochko
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molochko 80% vs Hryban 40%
Molochko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molochko 80% vs Hryban 50%
Molochko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molochko -1 · Hryban -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hryban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryban form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolochko 2.50 / Hryban 1.50
Signal prob.41% / 60%
Edge (Hryban)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12323148
Molochko2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 74 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back27% 31 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 61
Hryban1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 257 of 401
Up 2–0, closes it95% 135 of 142
Up 1–0, closes it79% 187 of 237
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolochko2wins
AwayHryban8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHryban leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolochkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHryban87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molochko2Hryban8n = 10Hryban took 8 of 10
S2Molochko1Hryban9n = 10Hryban took 9 of 10
S3Molochko4Hryban6n = 10Hryban took 6 of 10
S4Molochko1Hryban5n = 6Hryban took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolochkoHrybanM − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.439.4−7.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolochkoHrybanBasisWin rate · lifetime565 / 965 vs 321 / 51558.6%62.3%565 / 965 vs 321 / 515Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrybanMolochko 2.50/Hryban 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.5%
Hryban · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hryban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 17 · 07:25A. Molochko—1111912113V. Hryban—75111472
WJul 16 · 17:28A. Molochko—871111113V. Hryban—11116792
LJul 16 · 16:25A. Molochko—10131171V. Hryban—12153113
LJul 14 · 08:25A. Molochko—861191V. Hryban—11117113
LJul 14 · 05:55A. Molochko—6430V. Hryban—1111113
LJul 13 · 16:55A. Molochko—1161321V. Hryban—81115113
LJul 13 · 11:55A. Molochko—4690V. Hryban—1111113
LJul 11 · 09:55A. Molochko—91250V. Hryban—1114113
LJul 11 · 04:55A. Molochko—93100V. Hryban—1111123
LJul 10 · 17:25A. Molochko—7612101V. Hryban—111110123
A. Molochko10
WSep 7 · 12:05A. Molochko1.201191210113A. Zeniuk4.33811101272LSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262WSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560WSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431WSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110LSep 4 · 07:55A. Molochko1.5751214792V. Verbyany2.2511101211113WSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561
V. Hryban10
LJul 31 · 11:25B. Kohut2.631111113V. Hryban1.447760WJul 31 · 09:55V. Hryban1.80411128123N. Danyliuk1.911181011102WJul 31 · 07:55A. Molochko2.503550V. Hryban1.501111113LJul 31 · 05:55V. Verbyany2.75431111113V. Hryban1.4011119772LJul 31 · 04:55A. Zeniuk3.00781111113V. Hryban1.3611113682LJul 30 · 18:25V. Verbyany3.001311911143V. Hryban1.36155119122LJul 30 · 15:55A. Zeniuk3.2561111143V. Hryban1.331195121WJul 30 · 13:55N. Danyliuk1.914790V. Hryban1.801111113LJul 30 · 11:55B. Kohut2.751111105113V. Hryban1.4066121182LJul 28 · 08:55B. Kohut2.75118116123V. Hryban1.40911911102
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