TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12333767
Played Jul 31Finished
Bohdan Kohut
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117116––––
Vadym Hryban
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:40 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeVadym Hryban to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Vadym Hryban below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Vadym Hryban at 65.5%
53 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 40–64 Vadym Hryban Bohdan Kohut has won 40 of their 104 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:40What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hryban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-64 in 104
Hryban
Wrong
gap of 24 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kohut 1932 vs Hryban 1922
Kohut
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kohut 40% vs Hryban 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kohut 50% vs Hryban 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kohut -1 · Hryban +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hryban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryban form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 2.63 / Hryban 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 66%
Edge (Hryban)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12333767
Kohut2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 132 of 353
Down 0–1, comes back20% 40 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 126
Hryban1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 259 of 406
Up 2–0, closes it95% 136 of 143
Up 1–0, closes it78% 188 of 240
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut6wins
AwayHryban4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKohut leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut83.3%5 of 6
AwayHryban75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut6Hryban4n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S2Kohut4Hryban6n = 10Hryban took 6 of 10
S3Kohut5Hryban5n = 10split evenly
S4Kohut3Hryban5n = 8Hryban took 5 of 8
S5Kohut3Hryban1n = 4Kohut took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutHrybanK − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.938.5+0.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutHrybanBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 584 vs 324 / 52144%62.2%257 / 584 vs 324 / 521Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrybanKohut 2.63/Hryban 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.5%
Hryban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kohut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 30 · 11:55B. Kohut—1111105113V. Hryban—66121182
WJul 28 · 08:55B. Kohut—118116123V. Hryban—911911102
WJul 27 · 11:55B. Kohut—91112113V. Hryban—1131021
LJul 23 · 11:55B. Kohut—5840V. Hryban—1111113
LJul 21 · 11:35B. Kohut—6580V. Hryban—1111113
LJul 20 · 17:35B. Kohut—11711992V. Hryban—311611113
WJul 17 · 08:25B. Kohut—111186113V. Hryban—37111172
WJul 16 · 11:55B. Kohut—11611113V. Hryban—911891
LJul 14 · 07:55B. Kohut—8121191V. Hryban—111013113
WJul 14 · 06:55B. Kohut—11415113V. Hryban—7111361
B. Kohut10
LSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WAug 31 · 03:00B. Kohut1.301111113A. Zeniuk3.406840LAug 31 · 01:00N. Danyliuk1.33111111113B. Kohut3.25136661LAug 30 · 23:00A. Molochko1.401081111113B. Kohut2.7512117592LAug 30 · 22:00B. Kohut1.5396110D. Zeniuk2.381111133WAug 30 · 21:00V. Verbyany1.8051161172B. Kohut1.91114118113WAug 25 · 10:08A. Molochko1.44513111172B. Kohut2.631111136113LAug 25 · 09:05B. Kohut2.631511941A. Molochko1.4417711113LAug 25 · 08:05B. Kohut3.408690N. Danyliuk1.301111113WAug 25 · 06:35B. Kohut1.831111113V. Verbyany1.839950
V. Hryban10
WJul 31 · 09:55V. Hryban1.80411128123N. Danyliuk1.911181011102WJul 31 · 07:55A. Molochko2.503550V. Hryban1.501111113LJul 31 · 05:55V. Verbyany2.75431111113V. Hryban1.4011119772LJul 31 · 04:55A. Zeniuk3.00781111113V. Hryban1.3611113682LJul 30 · 18:25V. Verbyany3.001311911143V. Hryban1.36155119122WJul 30 · 17:25A. Molochko2.5011126682V. Hryban1.508101111113LJul 30 · 15:55A. Zeniuk3.2561111143V. Hryban1.331195121WJul 30 · 13:55N. Danyliuk1.914790V. Hryban1.801111113LJul 30 · 11:55B. Kohut2.751111105113V. Hryban1.4066121182LJul 28 · 08:55B. Kohut2.75118116123V. Hryban1.40911911102
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