TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12323139
Played Jul 30Finished
Bohdan Kohut
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161161012511118
Vadym Hryban
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeVadym Hryban to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Vadym Hryban below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 91 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Vadym Hryban at 67.3%
91 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 37–64 Vadym Hryban Bohdan Kohut has won 37 of their 101 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:55What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hryban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-64 in 101
Hryban
Wrong
gap of 27 in 101, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kohut 1908 vs Hryban 1938
Hryban
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kohut 60% vs Hryban 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kohut 50% vs Hryban 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kohut -1 · Hryban -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Hryban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryban form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 2.75 / Hryban 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Hryban)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12323139
Kohut2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 129 of 349
Down 0–1, comes back20% 39 of 197
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 126
Hryban1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 257 of 401
Up 2–0, closes it95% 135 of 142
Up 1–0, closes it79% 187 of 237
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut4wins
AwayHryban6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHryban leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut50%3 of 6
AwayHryban75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut6Hryban4n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S2Kohut2Hryban8n = 10Hryban took 8 of 10
S3Kohut4Hryban6n = 10Hryban took 6 of 10
S4Kohut4Hryban4n = 8split evenly
S5Kohut2Hryban2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutHrybanK − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.139.9−1.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutHrybanBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 575 vs 320 / 51243.8%62.5%252 / 575 vs 320 / 512Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrybanKohut 2.75/Hryban 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Hryban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kohut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 23 · 11:55B. Kohut—5840V. Hryban—1111113
LJul 21 · 11:35B. Kohut—6580V. Hryban—1111113
LJul 20 · 17:35B. Kohut—11711992V. Hryban—311611113
WJul 17 · 08:25B. Kohut—111186113V. Hryban—37111172
WJul 16 · 11:55B. Kohut—11611113V. Hryban—911891
LJul 14 · 07:55B. Kohut—8121191V. Hryban—111013113
WJul 14 · 06:55B. Kohut—11415113V. Hryban—7111361
LJul 13 · 15:55B. Kohut—112751V. Hryban—81111113
WJul 13 · 13:25B. Kohut—691111113V. Hryban—11115972
LJul 11 · 07:55B. Kohut—1111911162V. Hryban—413113183
B. Kohut10
LSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WAug 31 · 03:00B. Kohut1.301111113A. Zeniuk3.406840LAug 31 · 01:00N. Danyliuk1.33111111113B. Kohut3.25136661LAug 30 · 23:00A. Molochko1.401081111113B. Kohut2.7512117592LAug 30 · 22:00B. Kohut1.5396110D. Zeniuk2.381111133WAug 30 · 21:00V. Verbyany1.8051161172B. Kohut1.91114118113WAug 25 · 10:08A. Molochko1.44513111172B. Kohut2.631111136113LAug 25 · 09:05B. Kohut2.631511941A. Molochko1.4417711113LAug 25 · 08:05B. Kohut3.408690N. Danyliuk1.301111113WAug 25 · 06:35B. Kohut1.831111113V. Verbyany1.839950
V. Hryban10
LJul 31 · 11:25B. Kohut2.631111113V. Hryban1.447760WJul 31 · 09:55V. Hryban1.80411128123N. Danyliuk1.911181011102WJul 31 · 07:55A. Molochko2.503550V. Hryban1.501111113LJul 31 · 05:55V. Verbyany2.75431111113V. Hryban1.4011119772LJul 31 · 04:55A. Zeniuk3.00781111113V. Hryban1.3611113682LJul 30 · 18:25V. Verbyany3.001311911143V. Hryban1.36155119122WJul 30 · 17:25A. Molochko2.5011126682V. Hryban1.508101111113LJul 30 · 15:55A. Zeniuk3.2561111143V. Hryban1.331195121WJul 30 · 13:55N. Danyliuk1.914790V. Hryban1.801111113LJul 28 · 08:55B. Kohut2.75118116123V. Hryban1.40911911102
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