TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12323331
Played Jul 30Finished
Andrii Zeniuk
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111191151412––
Vadym Hryban
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 71.9% is still 71.9%
Graded at full timeVadym Hryban to win
71.9%
71.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Zeniuk above · Vadym Hryban below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 79 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Vadym Hryban at 71.9%
79 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Zeniuk 3–4 Vadym Hryban Andrii Zeniuk has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Hryban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeniuk 1879 vs Hryban 1946
Hryban
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeniuk 20% vs Hryban 40%
Hryban
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeniuk 10% vs Hryban 60%
Hryban
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeniuk -4 · Hryban +1
Zeniuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Hryban) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryban form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeniuk 3.25 / Hryban 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Hryban)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12323331
Zeniuk3.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 51 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Hryban1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 257 of 401
Up 2–0, closes it95% 135 of 142
Up 1–0, closes it79% 187 of 237
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeZeniuk3wins
AwayHryban4wins
Hryban leads 4–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeniuk100%3 of 3
AwayHryban100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeniuk3Hryban4n = 7Hryban took 4 of 7
S2Zeniuk3Hryban4n = 7Hryban took 4 of 7
S3Zeniuk4Hryban3n = 7Zeniuk took 4 of 7
S4Zeniuk2Hryban3n = 5Hryban took 3 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricZeniukHrybanZ − HBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match32.334.6−2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeniukHrybanBasisWin rate · lifetime303 / 526 vs 321 / 51457.6%62.5%303 / 526 vs 321 / 514Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrybanZeniuk 3.25/Hryban 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.9%
Hryban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 28 · 05:55A. Zeniuk—11811113V. Hryban—711981
LJul 27 · 14:25A. Zeniuk—411271V. Hryban—11711113
WJul 23 · 15:55A. Zeniuk—11811113V. Hryban—711831
LJul 21 · 06:05A. Zeniuk—8101251V. Hryban—111210113
WJul 20 · 13:35A. Zeniuk—1111123V. Hryban—64100
LDec 12 · 14:35A. Zeniuk—1111521V. Hryban—13711113
LDec 12 · 01:00A. Zeniuk—6880V. Hryban—1111103
A. Zeniuk10
LSep 7 · 12:05A. Molochko1.201191210113A. Zeniuk4.33811101272WSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871LSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181LSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891LSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580WSep 4 · 05:25A. Molochko1.205440A. Zeniuk4.331111113LSep 4 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.06111811113A. Zeniuk8.00220661LSep 3 · 15:25V. Verbyany1.3012911113A. Zeniuk3.401011961
V. Hryban10
LJul 31 · 11:25B. Kohut2.631111113V. Hryban1.447760WJul 31 · 09:55V. Hryban1.80411128123N. Danyliuk1.911181011102WJul 31 · 07:55A. Molochko2.503550V. Hryban1.501111113LJul 31 · 05:55V. Verbyany2.75431111113V. Hryban1.4011119772LJul 31 · 04:55A. Zeniuk3.00781111113V. Hryban1.3611113682LJul 30 · 18:25V. Verbyany3.001311911143V. Hryban1.36155119122WJul 30 · 17:25A. Molochko2.5011126682V. Hryban1.508101111113WJul 30 · 13:55N. Danyliuk1.914790V. Hryban1.801111113LJul 30 · 11:55B. Kohut2.751111105113V. Hryban1.4066121182LJul 28 · 08:55B. Kohut2.75118116123V. Hryban1.40911911102
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