TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12333826
Played Jul 31Finished
Andrii Zeniuk
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711811113116118
Vadym Hryban
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:36 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeVadym Hryban to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Zeniuk above · Vadym Hryban below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 87 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Vadym Hryban at 68.8%
87 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Zeniuk 4–4 Vadym Hryban Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:36What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Hryban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeniuk 1899 vs Hryban 1933
Hryban
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeniuk 40% vs Hryban 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeniuk 30% vs Hryban 50%
Hryban
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeniuk -1 · Hryban -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hryban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryban form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeniuk 3.00 / Hryban 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Hryban)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12333826
Zeniuk3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 53 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back31% 16 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Hryban1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 259 of 406
Up 2–0, closes it95% 136 of 143
Up 1–0, closes it78% 188 of 240
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeZeniuk4wins
AwayHryban4wins
Level at 4–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeniuk100%3 of 3
AwayHryban80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeniuk3Hryban5n = 8Hryban took 5 of 8
S2Zeniuk4Hryban4n = 8split evenly
S3Zeniuk5Hryban3n = 8Zeniuk took 5 of 8
S4Zeniuk3Hryban3n = 6split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricZeniukHrybanZ − HBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match33.534.9−1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeniukHrybanBasisWin rate · lifetime305 / 529 vs 322 / 51757.7%62.3%305 / 529 vs 322 / 517Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrybanZeniuk 3.00/Hryban 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Hryban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJul 30 · 15:55A. Zeniuk—61111143V. Hryban—1195121
WJul 28 · 05:55A. Zeniuk—11811113V. Hryban—711981
LJul 27 · 14:25A. Zeniuk—411271V. Hryban—11711113
WJul 23 · 15:55A. Zeniuk—11811113V. Hryban—711831
LJul 21 · 06:05A. Zeniuk—8101251V. Hryban—111210113
WJul 20 · 13:35A. Zeniuk—1111123V. Hryban—64100
LDec 12 · 14:35A. Zeniuk—1111521V. Hryban—13711113
LDec 12 · 01:00A. Zeniuk—6880V. Hryban—1111103
A. Zeniuk10
LSep 7 · 12:05A. Molochko1.201191210113A. Zeniuk4.33811101272WSep 7 · 24:00A. Zeniuk2.5011811113D. Zeniuk1.50811871LSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181LSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891LSep 4 · 08:25D. Zeniuk1.501113113A. Zeniuk2.5071140LSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580WSep 4 · 05:25A. Molochko1.205440A. Zeniuk4.331111113LSep 4 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.06111811113A. Zeniuk8.00220661LSep 3 · 15:25V. Verbyany1.3012911113A. Zeniuk3.401011961
V. Hryban10
LJul 31 · 11:25B. Kohut2.631111113V. Hryban1.447760WJul 31 · 09:55V. Hryban1.80411128123N. Danyliuk1.911181011102WJul 31 · 07:55A. Molochko2.503550V. Hryban1.501111113LJul 31 · 05:55V. Verbyany2.75431111113V. Hryban1.4011119772LJul 30 · 18:25V. Verbyany3.001311911143V. Hryban1.36155119122WJul 30 · 17:25A. Molochko2.5011126682V. Hryban1.508101111113LJul 30 · 15:55A. Zeniuk3.2561111143V. Hryban1.331195121WJul 30 · 13:55N. Danyliuk1.914790V. Hryban1.801111113LJul 30 · 11:55B. Kohut2.751111105113V. Hryban1.4066121182LJul 28 · 08:55B. Kohut2.75118116123V. Hryban1.40911911102
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