TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12323092
Played Jul 30Finished
Nazar Danyliuk
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711911––––
Vadym Hryban
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingNazar Danyliuk above · Vadym Hryban below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 58.5%
53 points played in total.
H2H Nazar Danyliuk 41–63 Vadym Hryban Nazar Danyliuk has won 41 of their 104 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:56What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hryban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-63 in 104
Hryban
Correct
gap of 22 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danyliuk 2081 vs Hryban 1927
Danyliuk
Wrong
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danyliuk 80% vs Hryban 40%
Danyliuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danyliuk 80% vs Hryban 50%
Danyliuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Danyliuk +4 · Hryban -2
Danyliuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Danyliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hryban form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanyliuk 1.91 / Hryban 1.80
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Danyliuk)+10.0pp
Setka Cup · #12323092
Danyliuk1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 63 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back19% 11 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Hryban1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 257 of 401
Up 2–0, closes it95% 135 of 142
Up 1–0, closes it79% 187 of 237
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanyliuk9wins
AwayHryban1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanyliuk100%8 of 8
AwayHrybann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danyliuk8Hryban2n = 10Danyliuk took 8 of 10
S2Danyliuk8Hryban2n = 10Danyliuk took 8 of 10
S3Danyliuk7Hryban3n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S4Danyliuk3Hryban1n = 4Danyliuk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanyliukHrybanD − HBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.431.5+5.9per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanyliukHrybanBasisWin rate · lifetime604 / 992 vs 320 / 51360.9%62.4%604 / 992 vs 320 / 513Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukDanyliuk 1.91/Hryban 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hryban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 23 · 18:25N. Danyliuk—12123113V. Hryban—10101141
WJul 21 · 05:05N. Danyliuk—1111113V. Hryban—5840
WJul 20 · 15:35N. Danyliuk—111139113V. Hryban—88111172
WJul 17 · 09:39N. Danyliuk—2011173V. Hryban—188150
WJul 17 · 06:25N. Danyliuk—1311113V. Hryban—11750
WJul 16 · 13:25N. Danyliuk—1112113V. Hryban—61050
WJul 14 · 09:25N. Danyliuk—1211113V. Hryban—10660
LJul 14 · 04:25N. Danyliuk—6580V. Hryban—1111113
WJul 13 · 15:25N. Danyliuk—13711133V. Hryban—11118111
WJul 13 · 14:25N. Danyliuk—101211113V. Hryban—1210871
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262LSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181WSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252WSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123LSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110WSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LSep 4 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.5381191182V. Verbyany2.38114119113
V. Hryban10
LJul 31 · 11:25B. Kohut2.631111113V. Hryban1.447760WJul 31 · 09:55V. Hryban1.80411128123N. Danyliuk1.911181011102WJul 31 · 07:55A. Molochko2.503550V. Hryban1.501111113LJul 31 · 05:55V. Verbyany2.75431111113V. Hryban1.4011119772LJul 31 · 04:55A. Zeniuk3.00781111113V. Hryban1.3611113682LJul 30 · 18:25V. Verbyany3.001311911143V. Hryban1.36155119122WJul 30 · 17:25A. Molochko2.5011126682V. Hryban1.508101111113LJul 30 · 15:55A. Zeniuk3.2561111143V. Hryban1.331195121LJul 30 · 11:55B. Kohut2.751111105113V. Hryban1.4066121182LJul 28 · 08:55B. Kohut2.75118116123V. Hryban1.40911911102
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