TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12333888
Played Jul 31Finished
Vadym Hryban
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
41111812108111210
Nazar Danyliuk
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:39 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVadym Hryban above · Nazar Danyliuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 97 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 58.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Vadym Hryban 64–41 Nazar Danyliuk Nazar Danyliuk has won 41 of their 105 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:39What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hryban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-41 in 105
Hryban
Correct
gap of 23 in 105, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hryban 1907 vs Danyliuk 2061
Danyliuk
Wrong
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hryban 40% vs Danyliuk 80%
Danyliuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hryban 40% vs Danyliuk 70%
Danyliuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hryban +1 · Danyliuk +4
Danyliuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Danyliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danyliuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHryban 1.80 / Danyliuk 1.91
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Danyliuk)+10.0pp
Setka Cup · #12333888
Hryban1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 259 of 406
Up 2–0, closes it95% 136 of 143
Up 1–0, closes it78% 188 of 240
Danyliuk1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 63 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back19% 11 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHryban2wins
AwayDanyliuk8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrybann = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDanyliuk100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hryban2Danyliuk8n = 10Danyliuk took 8 of 10
S2Hryban3Danyliuk7n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S3Hryban4Danyliuk6n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S4Hryban1Danyliuk2n = 3Danyliuk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrybanDanyliukH − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.135.0−3.9per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrybanDanyliukBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 520 vs 608 / 99962.1%60.9%323 / 520 vs 608 / 999Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukHryban 1.80/Danyliuk 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hryban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 30 · 13:55V. Hryban—1111113N. Danyliuk—4790
LJul 23 · 18:25V. Hryban—10101141N. Danyliuk—12123113
LJul 21 · 05:05V. Hryban—5840N. Danyliuk—1111113
LJul 20 · 15:35V. Hryban—88111172N. Danyliuk—111139113
LJul 17 · 09:39V. Hryban—188150N. Danyliuk—2011173
LJul 17 · 06:25V. Hryban—11750N. Danyliuk—1311113
LJul 16 · 13:25V. Hryban—61050N. Danyliuk—1112113
LJul 14 · 09:25V. Hryban—10660N. Danyliuk—1211113
WJul 14 · 04:25V. Hryban—1111113N. Danyliuk—6580
LJul 13 · 15:25V. Hryban—11118111N. Danyliuk—13711133
V. Hryban10
LJul 31 · 11:25B. Kohut2.631111113V. Hryban1.447760WJul 31 · 07:55A. Molochko2.503550V. Hryban1.501111113LJul 31 · 05:55V. Verbyany2.75431111113V. Hryban1.4011119772LJul 31 · 04:55A. Zeniuk3.00781111113V. Hryban1.3611113682LJul 30 · 18:25V. Verbyany3.001311911143V. Hryban1.36155119122WJul 30 · 17:25A. Molochko2.5011126682V. Hryban1.508101111113LJul 30 · 15:55A. Zeniuk3.2561111143V. Hryban1.331195121WJul 30 · 13:55N. Danyliuk1.914790V. Hryban1.801111113LJul 30 · 11:55B. Kohut2.751111105113V. Hryban1.4066121182LJul 28 · 08:55B. Kohut2.75118116123V. Hryban1.40911911102
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262LSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181WSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252WSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123LSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110WSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LJul 30 · 13:55N. Danyliuk1.914790V. Hryban1.801111113
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