TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12317254
Played Jul 29Finished
Martin Vana
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711116117911611
Pavel Oplt
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Vana to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Vana above · Pavel Oplt below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 90 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Martin Vana at 59.8%
90 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vana 10–6 Pavel Oplt Pavel Oplt has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vana
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-6 in 16
Vana
Wrong
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vana 1622 vs Oplt 1626
Oplt
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vana 60% vs Oplt 40%
Vana
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vana 40% vs Oplt 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vana +1 · Oplt -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVana 1.67 / Oplt 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Vana)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12317254
Vana1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 36 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it81% 30 of 37
Oplt2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog55% won 16 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back39% 5 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back40% 2 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVana6wins
AwayOplt4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVana leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVana71.4%5 of 7
AwayOplt66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vana7Oplt3n = 10Vana took 7 of 10
S2Vana5Oplt5n = 10split evenly
S3Vana5Oplt5n = 10split evenly
S4Vana5Oplt3n = 8Vana took 5 of 8
S5Vana2Oplt3n = 5Oplt took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVanaOpltV − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.238.0+3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanaOpltBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 150 vs 109 / 21255.3%51.4%83 / 150 vs 109 / 212Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaVana 1.67/Oplt 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.8%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Oplt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 22 · 08:14M. Vana49119117113P. Oplt4791191172
LMay 22 · 07:15M. Vana521311711102P. Oplt49152119123
WApr 30 · 08:13M. Vana331111113P. Oplt209380
LApr 30 · 07:15M. Vana42114611102P. Oplt43311116123
WApr 24 · 11:15M. Vana4211911113P. Oplt34511991
LFeb 27 · 07:45M. Vana3911114942P. Oplt49971111113
LFeb 19 · 16:30M. Vana2310760P. Oplt341211113
WFeb 18 · 20:00M. Vana515111113113P. Oplt4711571592
WOct 10 · 17:10M. Vana3911116113P. Oplt30861151
WOct 10 · 13:30M. Vana4211911113P. Oplt27511921
M. Vana10
LAug 3 · 08:13M. Vana2.1010880R. Pisa1.671211113WAug 3 · 07:15R. Pisa1.538101161M. Vana2.3811127113LAug 3 · 06:45M. Vana2.20651181M. Vyskocil1.6111116113LAug 3 · 05:45M. Vana1.916890M. Makara1.801111113LJul 29 · 20:43A. Radkovsky2.001111113M. Vana1.739460WJul 29 · 19:15D. Marasek2.507750M. Vana1.501111113WJul 29 · 18:45M. Vana1.8091111133A. Radkovsky1.911167111WJul 27 · 08:20R. Pisa1.5011128772M. Vana2.507101111113LJul 27 · 07:15M. Vana2.201111971R. Pisa1.6131311113LJul 27 · 06:15M. Vana2.007490M. Vyskocil1.731111113
P. Oplt10
WSep 11 · 12:13M. Hajek2.25117691P. Oplt1.5761111113LSep 11 · 11:15P. Oplt1.911081161P. Semrad1.8012116113WSep 11 · 10:15P. Oplt1.6111511113M. Hajek2.20311451LSep 11 · 09:15P. Oplt1.8061080Z. Vasatko1.911112113LSep 7 · 17:10P. Oplt1.9151111752P. Semrad1.80119711113WSep 7 · 16:00D. Marasek2.10101111892P. Oplt1.67127511113LSep 7 · 15:00P. Semrad1.911111113P. Oplt1.809890WSep 7 · 13:30L. Smazik2.10101140P. Oplt1.671213113WAug 10 · 20:18D. Marasek2.10711121242P. Oplt1.671171410113LAug 10 · 19:15P. Oplt1.61711561D. Marasek2.2011711113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.