TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12308833
Played Jul 27Finished
Radovan Pisa
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171210811711711
Martin Vana
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingRadovan Pisa above · Martin Vana below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 95 set 5, 7-11
95 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Pisa 2–0 Martin Vana Martin Vana has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pisa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPisa 1.50 / Vana 2.50
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Pisa)-5.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12308833
Pisa1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite51% won 81 of 160
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it70% 57 of 82
Vana2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 9 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back23% 3 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePisa2wins
AwayVana0wins
Pisa leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPisaVanaP − VBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.032.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPisaVanaBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 737 vs 82 / 14947.5%55%350 / 737 vs 82 / 149Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisaPisa 1.50/Vana 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Pisa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vana won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 27 · 07:15R. Pisa3831311113M. Vana381111971
WJul 13 · 06:45R. Pisa44111111113M. Vana26413361
R. Pisa10
LSep 15 · 09:04R. Pisa1.8376100L. Rulc1.831111123WSep 15 · 08:00R. Pisa1.73311811113J. Senk2.0011811752WSep 15 · 06:30M. Ullman1.837111361R. Pisa1.8311915113WSep 15 · 06:00L. Rulc1.9189120R. Pisa1.801111143LSep 14 · 16:43M. Makara1.911111117113R. Pisa1.8081361172WSep 14 · 15:45R. Pisa1.7313712113M. Makara2.0011111081WSep 14 · 14:15O. Mezera2.3891111852R. Pisa1.53118511113WSep 14 · 13:45S. Rejent1.91121070R. Pisa1.801412113WSep 13 · 20:43R. Pisa2.25951111123J. Sr1.57111196102LSep 13 · 19:45J. Sr1.4012129113R. Pisa2.7510101131
M. Vana10
LAug 3 · 08:13M. Vana2.1010880R. Pisa1.671211113WAug 3 · 07:15R. Pisa1.538101161M. Vana2.3811127113LAug 3 · 06:45M. Vana2.20651181M. Vyskocil1.6111116113LAug 3 · 05:45M. Vana1.916890M. Makara1.801111113LJul 29 · 20:43A. Radkovsky2.001111113M. Vana1.739460WJul 29 · 19:15D. Marasek2.507750M. Vana1.501111113WJul 29 · 18:45M. Vana1.8091111133A. Radkovsky1.911167111LJul 29 · 17:45M. Vana1.6771111962P. Oplt2.10116711113LJul 27 · 07:15M. Vana2.201111971R. Pisa1.6131311113LJul 27 · 06:15M. Vana2.007490M. Vyskocil1.731111113
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