TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12352513
Played Aug 3Finished
Radovan Pisa
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111012117611––
Martin Vana
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:47 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeRadovan Pisa to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadovan Pisa above · Martin Vana below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 76 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Radovan Pisa at 58.9%
76 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Pisa 3–2 Martin Vana Martin Vana has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Pisa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pisa 1656 vs Vana 1603
Pisa
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pisa 40% vs Vana 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pisa 60% vs Vana 40%
Pisa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pisa +1 · Vana -3
Vana
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Pisa) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPisa 1.53 / Vana 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Pisa)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12352513
Pisa1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 85 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it69% 59 of 85
Vana2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 11 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back22% 4 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePisa3wins
AwayVana2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderPisa leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePisa66.7%2 of 3
AwayVanan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pisa3Vana2n = 5Pisa took 3 of 5
S2Pisa3Vana2n = 5Pisa took 3 of 5
S3Pisa4Vana1n = 5Pisa took 4 of 5
S4Pisa2Vana2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricPisaVanaP − VBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match39.236.2+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPisaVanaBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 742 vs 83 / 15047.4%55.3%352 / 742 vs 83 / 150Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisaPisa 1.53/Vana 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.8%
Pisa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vana won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 3 · 08:13R. Pisa341211113M. Vana2610880
LAug 3 · 07:15R. Pisa358101161M. Vana4111127113
LJul 27 · 08:20R. Pisa4511128772M. Vana507101111113
WJul 27 · 07:15R. Pisa3831311113M. Vana381111971
WJul 13 · 06:45R. Pisa44111111113M. Vana26413361
R. Pisa10
LSep 15 · 09:04R. Pisa1.8376100L. Rulc1.831111123WSep 15 · 08:00R. Pisa1.73311811113J. Senk2.0011811752WSep 15 · 06:30M. Ullman1.837111361R. Pisa1.8311915113WSep 15 · 06:00L. Rulc1.9189120R. Pisa1.801111143LSep 14 · 16:43M. Makara1.911111117113R. Pisa1.8081361172WSep 14 · 15:45R. Pisa1.7313712113M. Makara2.0011111081WSep 14 · 14:15O. Mezera2.3891111852R. Pisa1.53118511113WSep 14 · 13:45S. Rejent1.91121070R. Pisa1.801412113WSep 13 · 20:43R. Pisa2.25951111123J. Sr1.57111196102LSep 13 · 19:45J. Sr1.4012129113R. Pisa2.7510101131
M. Vana10
LAug 3 · 08:13M. Vana2.1010880R. Pisa1.671211113LAug 3 · 06:45M. Vana2.20651181M. Vyskocil1.6111116113LAug 3 · 05:45M. Vana1.916890M. Makara1.801111113LJul 29 · 20:43A. Radkovsky2.001111113M. Vana1.739460WJul 29 · 19:15D. Marasek2.507750M. Vana1.501111113WJul 29 · 18:45M. Vana1.8091111133A. Radkovsky1.911167111LJul 29 · 17:45M. Vana1.6771111962P. Oplt2.10116711113WJul 27 · 08:20R. Pisa1.5011128772M. Vana2.507101111113LJul 27 · 07:15M. Vana2.201111971R. Pisa1.6131311113LJul 27 · 06:15M. Vana2.007490M. Vyskocil1.731111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.