TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130265
Played Sep 14Finished
Michal Makara
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181113116711117
Radovan Pisa
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingMichal Makara above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 96 set 5, 11-7
96 points played in total.
H2H Michal Makara 29–37 Radovan Pisa Michal Makara has won 29 of their 66 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Pisa beat Makara 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pisa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakara 1.91 / Pisa 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pisa)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13130265
Makara1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 159 of 344
Down 0–1, comes back25% 45 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 83
Pisa1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 73 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it65% 53 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakara6wins
AwayPisa4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMakara leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakara75%3 of 4
AwayPisa50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makara4Pisa6n = 10Pisa took 6 of 10
S2Makara8Pisa2n = 10Makara took 8 of 10
S3Makara5Pisa5n = 10split evenly
S4Makara4Pisa5n = 9Pisa took 5 of 9
S5Makara2Pisa1n = 3Makara took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakaraPisaM − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.540.9−0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakaraPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime502 / 1049 vs 384 / 78647.9%48.9%502 / 1049 vs 384 / 786Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisaMakara 1.91/Pisa 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pisa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Makara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 15:45M. Makara4011111081R. Pisa4313712113
WSep 8 · 12:29M. Makara47111185123R. Pisa49891111102
LSep 8 · 11:30M. Makara377713101R. Pisa45111111123
WAug 31 · 07:15M. Makara54813127143R. Pisa5511111011122
WAug 28 · 08:28M. Makara3961111113R. Pisa37119981
LAug 28 · 07:30M. Makara4413591162R. Pisa491111115113
WAug 22 · 20:44M. Makara3961111113R. Pisa30119551
LAug 22 · 19:45M. Makara28412751R. Pisa4111101193
WAug 11 · 15:45M. Makara4412138113R. Pisa4010111181
WAug 8 · 19:45M. Makara331111113R. Pisa203980
M. Makara10
LSep 14 · 15:45R. Pisa1.7313712113M. Makara2.0011111081LSep 14 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67131158113M. Makara2.10116111182WSep 14 · 13:15O. Mezera2.2069111582M. Makara1.611111813113LSep 13 · 11:45T. Liska2.251611113M. Makara1.5714890WSep 13 · 10:45O. Mezera2.2511147101M. Makara1.5771611123WSep 13 · 09:15M. Vyskocil2.1010560M. Makara1.671211113LSep 12 · 20:45M. Makara1.8341010D. Gasparovic1.831112113WSep 12 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.737990M. Makara2.001111113LSep 12 · 18:45J. Sr1.57114911113M. Makara2.2531111672WSep 12 · 17:15D. Gasparovic1.446890M. Makara2.631111113
R. Pisa10
WSep 14 · 15:45R. Pisa1.7313712113M. Makara2.0011111081WSep 14 · 14:15O. Mezera2.3891111852R. Pisa1.53118511113WSep 14 · 13:45S. Rejent1.91121070R. Pisa1.801412113WSep 13 · 20:43R. Pisa2.25951111123J. Sr1.57111196102LSep 13 · 19:45J. Sr1.4012129113R. Pisa2.7510101131WSep 13 · 18:45M. Kocvara1.8310490R. Pisa1.831211113WSep 13 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.731111115112R. Pisa2.00913211133LSep 10 · 09:03R. Pisa1.8311713101M. Kocvara1.8341115123WSep 10 · 08:00L. Veigl1.6710118101R. Pisa2.1012711123WSep 10 · 07:00J. Senk1.916101415122R. Pisa1.8011121213143
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