TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105630
Played Sep 10Finished
Lukas Veigl
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121178111012––
Radovan Pisa
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Veigl to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Veigl above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 81 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Lukas Veigl at 59.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Veigl 48–26 Radovan Pisa Radovan Pisa has won 26 of their 74 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:03What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Veigl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-26 in 74
Veigl
Wrong
gap of 22 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Veigl 1746 vs Pisa 1696
Veigl
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Veigl 100% vs Pisa 40%
Veigl
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Veigl 80% vs Pisa 50%
Veigl
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Veigl +5 · Pisa +1
Veigl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Veigl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veigl form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVeigl 1.67 / Pisa 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Veigl)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13105630
Veigl1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 64 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it74% 42 of 57
Pisa2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 90 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back28% 30 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVeigl7wins
AwayPisa3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVeigl leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVeigl71.4%5 of 7
AwayPisa33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Veigl7Pisa3n = 10Veigl took 7 of 10
S2Veigl5Pisa5n = 10split evenly
S3Veigl5Pisa5n = 10split evenly
S4Veigl6Pisa3n = 9Veigl took 6 of 9
S5Veigl3Pisa2n = 5Veigl took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVeiglPisaV − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.140.0+3.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeiglPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 532 vs 384 / 79252.3%48.5%278 / 532 vs 384 / 792Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.339.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeiglVeigl 1.67/Pisa 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Veigl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 09:30L. Veigl—117311113R. Pisa—81111932
LJul 23 · 06:15L. Veigl—11611942R. Pisa—711911113
LJul 22 · 08:58L. Veigl—1191491R. Pisa—51116113
LJul 22 · 06:00L. Veigl—91117992R. Pisa—1141511113
WJul 15 · 08:28L. Veigl—101111113R. Pisa—126981
WJul 15 · 06:30L. Veigl—11117113R. Pisa—951161
WJun 27 · 18:45L. Veigl—1111113R. Pisa—9890
WJun 18 · 12:00L. Veigl—11911113R. Pisa—911761
WJun 13 · 18:15L. Veigl—411511113R. Pisa—11811872
WJun 11 · 16:59L. Veigl—118811113R. Pisa—71111782
L. Veigl10
WSep 10 · 06:00J. Senk2.1079100L. Veigl1.671111123WSep 8 · 12:58L. Veigl1.911111113T. Liska1.807690WSep 8 · 12:00T. Liska2.101015771L. Veigl1.67121311113WSep 8 · 11:00M. Makara1.91138991L. Veigl1.80111111113WSep 8 · 09:30R. Pisa2.2081111932L. Veigl1.61117311113LSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113LSep 7 · 07:15P. Wasik1.611211113L. Veigl2.2010850WSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951WSep 7 · 05:45L. Veigl2.50111111113L. Heinzl1.50781361WSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113
R. Pisa10
LSep 10 · 09:03R. Pisa1.8311713101M. Kocvara1.8341115123WSep 10 · 07:00J. Senk1.916101415122R. Pisa1.8011121213143WSep 10 · 05:30M. Kocvara1.8311891192R. Pisa1.83811119113LSep 8 · 12:29M. Makara1.91111185123R. Pisa1.80891111102WSep 8 · 11:30R. Pisa1.67111111123M. Makara2.107713101LSep 8 · 10:30R. Pisa1.6197111182T. Liska2.20111184113LSep 8 · 09:30R. Pisa2.2081111932L. Veigl1.61117311113WSep 7 · 12:54R. Pisa1.801113113A. Radkovsky1.9181190LSep 7 · 11:45M. Vyskocil1.671081111123R. Pisa2.10121167102WSep 7 · 10:45L. Adam1.501061161R. Pisa2.5012119113
Upcoming Matches
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