TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13092757
Played Sep 7Finished
Radovan Pisa
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181311119––––
Adam Radkovsky
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingRadovan Pisa above · Adam Radkovsky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 63 set 3, 11-9
63 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Pisa 1–2 Adam Radkovsky Radovan Pisa has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Pisa beat Radkovsky 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pisa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radkovsky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPisa 1.80 / Radkovsky 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pisa)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13092757
Pisa1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 79 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it65% 56 of 86
Radkovsky1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 37 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back26% 7 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePisa1wins
AwayRadkovsky2wins
3 of 3 to a deciderRadkovsky leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pisa2Radkovsky1n = 3Pisa took 2 of 3
S2Pisa3Radkovsky0n = 3Pisa took 3 of 3
S3Pisa1Radkovsky2n = 3Radkovsky took 2 of 3
S4Pisa0Radkovsky3n = 3Radkovsky took 3 of 3
S5Pisa1Radkovsky2n = 3Radkovsky took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPisaRadkovskyP − RBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match50.750.70.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPisaRadkovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 790 vs 179 / 31148.5%57.6%383 / 790 vs 179 / 311Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.440.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisaPisa 1.80/Radkovsky 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pisa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 7 · 09:15R. Pisa—1111711113A. Radkovsky—67111352
LAug 22 · 17:45R. Pisa—11118492A. Radkovsky—981111113
LAug 17 · 15:45R. Pisa—1611111192A. Radkovsky—189913113
R. Pisa10
LSep 7 · 11:45M. Vyskocil1.671081111123R. Pisa2.10121167102WSep 7 · 10:45L. Adam1.501061161R. Pisa2.5012119113WSep 7 · 09:15A. Radkovsky1.9167111352R. Pisa1.801111711113LSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113LSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990WSep 3 · 18:45A. Snr1.571011731R. Pisa2.2512611113LSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011WSep 2 · 20:48R. Pisa1.8311129113M. Ullman1.833101191WSep 2 · 19:45R. Pisa1.7311118113J. Dolezal2.00381181LSep 2 · 18:15M. Ullman1.831191112113R. Pisa1.8391161462
A. Radkovsky10
WSep 7 · 11:15A. Radkovsky2.00145611143L. Adam1.731211118122WSep 7 · 10:15A. Radkovsky2.257111511113M. Vyskocil1.5711817872LSep 7 · 09:15A. Radkovsky1.9167111352R. Pisa1.801111711113WSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:15A. Radkovsky2.001191111113J. Sr1.7381191392LSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123WSep 3 · 13:15A. Radkovsky1.671111113O. Mezera2.106660WSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:45J. Dolezal1.5311511133A. Radkovsky2.388116111LSep 2 · 10:45M. Vyskocil1.671111113A. Radkovsky2.108560
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