Michal Makara vs Radovan Pisa 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13098934

Played Sep 8Finished

Michal Makara

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1181198115111210

Radovan Pisa

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingMichal Makara above · Radovan Pisa below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 5-11

Set 5 · 12-10

Point 96 set 5, 12-10

96 points played in total.

H2H Michal Makara 28–36 Radovan Pisa Michal Makara has won 28 of their 64 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Pisa beat Makara 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pisa)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pisa form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMakara 1.91 / Pisa 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Pisa)+2.5pp

Setka Cup · #13098934

Makara1.91

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog46% won 175 of 380

Down 0–1, comes back25% 49 of 194

Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 88

Pisa1.80

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite50% won 80 of 161

Up 2–0, closes it88% 35 of 40

Up 1–0, closes it66% 57 of 87

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMakara5wins

AwayPisa5wins

2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMakara50%2 of 4

AwayPisa50%3 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Makara4Pisa6n = 10Pisa took 6 of 10

S2Makara6Pisa4n = 10Makara took 6 of 10

S3Makara6Pisa4n = 10Makara took 6 of 10

S4Makara4Pisa5n = 9Pisa took 5 of 9

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricMakaraPisaM − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.839.4−1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMakaraPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime499 / 1042 vs 383 / 79047.9%48.5%499 / 1042 vs 383 / 790Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Pisa

Makara 1.91/Pisa 1.80

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Pisa · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Makara won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 8 · 11:30M. Makara—7713101R. Pisa—111111123

WAug 31 · 07:15M. Makara—813127143R. Pisa—11111011122

WAug 28 · 08:28M. Makara—61111113R. Pisa—119981

LAug 28 · 07:30M. Makara—13591162R. Pisa—1111115113

WAug 22 · 20:44M. Makara—61111113R. Pisa—119551

LAug 22 · 19:45M. Makara—412751R. Pisa—11101193

WAug 11 · 15:45M. Makara—12138113R. Pisa—10111181

WAug 8 · 19:45M. Makara—1111113R. Pisa—3980

LAug 5 · 10:45M. Makara—461171R. Pisa—11116113

LAug 4 · 12:13M. Makara—1111821R. Pisa—31311113

M. Makara10

LSep 8 · 11:30R. Pisa1.67111111123M. Makara2.107713101 LSep 8 · 11:00M. Makara1.91138991L. Veigl1.80111111113 LSep 8 · 10:00M. Makara1.6761170T. Liska2.101113113 LSep 7 · 16:48M. Makara1.83119111182M. Myler1.83711132113 WSep 7 · 15:45S. Rejent1.6711911892M. Makara2.10911611113 LSep 7 · 14:45M. Myler2.10111110113M. Makara1.67681291 WSep 7 · 13:15O. Mezera2.38811611102M. Makara1.53114115123 WSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940 LSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113 LSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692

R. Pisa10

WSep 8 · 11:30R. Pisa1.67111111123M. Makara2.107713101 LSep 8 · 10:30R. Pisa1.6197111182T. Liska2.20111184113 LSep 8 · 09:30R. Pisa2.2081111932L. Veigl1.61117311113 WSep 7 · 12:54R. Pisa1.801113113A. Radkovsky1.9181190 LSep 7 · 11:45M. Vyskocil1.671081111123R. Pisa2.10121167102 WSep 7 · 10:45L. Adam1.501061161R. Pisa2.5012119113 WSep 7 · 09:15A. Radkovsky1.9167111352R. Pisa1.801111711113 LSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113 LSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990 WSep 3 · 18:45A. Snr1.571011731R. Pisa2.2512611113

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