Michal Makara vs Tomas Liska 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13094492

Played Sep 8Finished

Michal Makara

Home

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

6111113711––––

Tomas Liska

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Michal Makara to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMichal Makara above · Tomas Liska below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 7-11

Point 59 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Michal Makara at 54.0%

59 points played in total.

H2H Michal Makara 47–43 Tomas Liska Tomas Liska has won 43 of their 90 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

The pickConfirm

Sealed 19:19

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Makara

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

47-43 in 90

Makara

Wrong

gap of 4 in 90, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Makara 1659 vs Liska 1691

Liska

Correct

both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Makara 60% vs Liska 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Makara 40% vs Liska 70%

Liska

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Makara -1 · Liska -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Makara)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Liska form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMakara 1.67 / Liska 2.10

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Makara)-1.8pp (anti-value)

Setka Cup · #13094492

Makara1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite51% won 45 of 88

Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27

Up 1–0, closes it67% 33 of 49

Liska2.10

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog42% won 101 of 243

Down 0–1, comes back20% 28 of 137

Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 55

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMakara7wins

AwayLiska3wins

2 of 10 to a deciderMakara leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMakara75%6 of 8

AwayLiskan = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Makara8Liska2n = 10Makara took 8 of 10

S2Makara5Liska5n = 10split evenly

S3Makara4Liska6n = 10Liska took 6 of 10

S4Makara6Liska1n = 7Makara took 6 of 7

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricMakaraLiskaM − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.139.5+0.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMakaraLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime499 / 1039 vs 403 / 87348%46.2%499 / 1039 vs 403 / 873Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.340.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Makara

Makara 1.67/Liska 2.10

Miss

What we said

54%

Makara · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Liska won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 8 · 17:15M. Makara—11129113T. Liska—9101151

WAug 3 · 15:45M. Makara—1611113T. Liska—14770

LAug 1 · 12:54M. Makara—111371182T. Liska—815118113

WAug 1 · 09:15M. Makara—3101314123T. Liska—11121112102

WJul 28 · 08:58M. Makara—11411123T. Liska—8119101

LJul 28 · 08:00M. Makara—8880T. Liska—1111113

WJul 5 · 06:45M. Makara—11119113T. Liska—991181

WJun 28 · 07:30M. Makara—1111123T. Liska—89100

WJun 15 · 06:15M. Makara—111611133T. Liska—91413111

LJun 12 · 12:14M. Makara—118731T. Liska—81111113

M. Makara10

LSep 8 · 11:30R. Pisa1.67111111123M. Makara2.107713101 LSep 8 · 11:00M. Makara1.91138991L. Veigl1.80111111113 LSep 7 · 16:48M. Makara1.83119111182M. Myler1.83711132113 WSep 7 · 15:45S. Rejent1.6711911892M. Makara2.10911611113 LSep 7 · 14:45M. Myler2.10111110113M. Makara1.67681291 WSep 7 · 13:15O. Mezera2.38811611102M. Makara1.53114115123 WSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940 LSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113 LSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692 LSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100

T. Liska10

LSep 8 · 12:00T. Liska2.101015771L. Veigl1.67121311113 WSep 8 · 10:30R. Pisa1.6197111182T. Liska2.20111184113 LSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113 WSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113 WSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113 WSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123 LSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113 WSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990 WSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133 WSep 3 · 17:45A. Snr1.83119561T. Liska1.8371111113

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