TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094693
Played Sep 8Finished
Tomas Liska
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121513711711––
Lukas Veigl
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeLukas Veigl to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Liska above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 86 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Lukas Veigl at 55.8%
86 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Liska 33–39 Lukas Veigl Tomas Liska has won 33 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:56What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Veigl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-39 in 72
Veigl
Correct
gap of 6 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Liska 1714 vs Veigl 1711
Liska
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Liska 80% vs Veigl 60%
Liska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Liska 80% vs Veigl 60%
Liska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Liska +2 · Veigl +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Veigl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Liska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLiska 2.10 / Veigl 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Veigl)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13094693
Liska2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 101 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back20% 28 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 55
Veigl1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 61 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it73% 40 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLiska4wins
AwayVeigl6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVeigl leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLiska57.1%4 of 7
AwayVeigl100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Liska7Veigl3n = 10Liska took 7 of 10
S2Liska4Veigl6n = 10Veigl took 6 of 10
S3Liska6Veigl4n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S4Liska4Veigl5n = 9Veigl took 5 of 9
S5Liska1Veigl4n = 5Veigl took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLiskaVeiglL − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.944.1+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLiskaVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime404 / 872 vs 275 / 52946.3%52%404 / 872 vs 275 / 529Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.340.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeiglLiska 2.10/Veigl 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Veigl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Veigl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 9 · 16:53T. Liska—1111153L. Veigl—89130
LJul 9 · 15:45T. Liska—1313199112L. Veigl—15111711133
LJun 27 · 19:15T. Liska—1179131L. Veigl—61111153
WJun 20 · 19:30T. Liska—11811113L. Veigl—311981
LJun 11 · 14:00T. Liska—15761192L. Veigl—1311117113
LApr 29 · 10:00T. Liska—91191192L. Veigl—119119113
WApr 19 · 09:30T. Liska—11117113L. Veigl—951171
LApr 5 · 08:29T. Liska—119113102L. Veigl—611711123
WApr 5 · 06:30T. Liska—1110117113L. Veigl—91281152
LMar 27 · 19:45T. Liska—6111171L. Veigl—11137113
T. Liska10
WSep 8 · 10:30R. Pisa1.6197111182T. Liska2.20111184113WSep 8 · 10:00M. Makara1.6761170T. Liska2.101113113LSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113WSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113WSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113WSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990WSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133WSep 3 · 17:45A. Snr1.83119561T. Liska1.8371111113
L. Veigl10
WSep 8 · 11:00M. Makara1.91138991L. Veigl1.80111111113WSep 8 · 09:30R. Pisa2.2081111932L. Veigl1.61117311113LSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113LSep 7 · 07:15P. Wasik1.611211113L. Veigl2.2010850WSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951WSep 7 · 05:45L. Veigl2.50111111113L. Heinzl1.50781361WSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153WSep 5 · 18:15L. Veigl1.801111113J. Senk1.917890LSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113
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