TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094585
Played Sep 8Finished
Radovan Pisa
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911711118114811
Tomas Liska
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:40 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeRadovan Pisa to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadovan Pisa above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 91 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Radovan Pisa at 58.5%
91 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Pisa 61–47 Tomas Liska Tomas Liska has won 47 of their 108 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:40What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pisa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-47 in 108
Pisa
Wrong
gap of 14 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pisa 1699 vs Liska 1704
Liska
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pisa 60% vs Liska 80%
Liska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pisa 50% vs Liska 80%
Liska
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pisa -1 · Liska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pisa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Liska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPisa 1.61 / Liska 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Pisa)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13094585
Pisa1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 80 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it88% 35 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it66% 57 of 87
Liska2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 101 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back20% 28 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePisa5wins
AwayLiska5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePisa71.4%5 of 7
AwayLiska100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pisa7Liska3n = 10Pisa took 7 of 10
S2Pisa4Liska6n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S3Pisa4Liska6n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S4Pisa3Liska4n = 7Liska took 4 of 7
S5Pisa2Liska2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPisaLiskaP − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.740.4−0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPisaLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 788 vs 403 / 87148.5%46.3%382 / 788 vs 403 / 871Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.440.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisaPisa 1.61/Liska 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Pisa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Liska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 19:45R. Pisa—7990T. Liska—1111113
LAug 30 · 07:15R. Pisa—129981T. Liska—101111113
WAug 13 · 07:45R. Pisa—111259113T. Liska—810111192
LAug 12 · 05:45R. Pisa—11113972T. Liska—961111113
WAug 8 · 20:13R. Pisa—11101113133T. Liska—712815112
LAug 8 · 18:15R. Pisa—6690T. Liska—1111113
LJul 27 · 06:45R. Pisa—711111162T. Liska—118139113
WJul 24 · 06:15R. Pisa—111111113T. Liska—813971
WJul 13 · 05:45R. Pisa—1111123T. Liska—54100
WJul 12 · 20:53R. Pisa—11911113T. Liska—911891
R. Pisa10
WSep 8 · 11:30R. Pisa1.67111111123M. Makara2.107713101LSep 8 · 09:30R. Pisa2.2081111932L. Veigl1.61117311113WSep 7 · 12:54R. Pisa1.801113113A. Radkovsky1.9181190LSep 7 · 11:45M. Vyskocil1.671081111123R. Pisa2.10121167102WSep 7 · 10:45L. Adam1.501061161R. Pisa2.5012119113WSep 7 · 09:15A. Radkovsky1.9167111352R. Pisa1.801111711113LSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113LSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990WSep 3 · 18:45A. Snr1.571011731R. Pisa2.2512611113LSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011
T. Liska10
WSep 8 · 10:00M. Makara1.6761170T. Liska2.101113113LSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113WSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113WSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113WSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990WSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133WSep 3 · 17:45A. Snr1.83119561T. Liska1.8371111113WSep 1 · 12:23T. Liska1.5391111123A. Radkovsky2.381176101
Upcoming Matches
R. Pisa
Nothing scheduled
T. Liska
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