TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105618
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Senk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7119111012––––
Lukas Veigl
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:05 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeLukas Veigl to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Senk above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 60 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Lukas Veigl at 61.3%
60 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Senk 5–7 Lukas Veigl Jakub Senk has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Veigl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Veigl
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senk 1638 vs Veigl 1736
Veigl
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senk 100% vs Veigl 80%
Senk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senk 70% vs Veigl 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Senk +5 · Veigl +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Veigl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veigl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenk 2.10 / Veigl 1.67
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Veigl)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13105618
Senk2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 28 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back44% 15 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back28% 5 of 18
Veigl1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 64 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it74% 42 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenk4wins
AwayVeigl6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVeigl leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenk50%2 of 4
AwayVeigl66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senk4Veigl6n = 10Veigl took 6 of 10
S2Senk4Veigl6n = 10Veigl took 6 of 10
S3Senk6Veigl4n = 10Senk took 6 of 10
S4Senk4Veigl4n = 8split evenly
S5Senk1Veigl2n = 3Veigl took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenkVeiglS − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.640.1−2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenkVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 289 vs 277 / 53152.6%52.2%152 / 289 vs 277 / 531Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.440.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeiglSenk 2.10/Veigl 1.67
Hit
What we said
61.3%
Veigl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Veigl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk—411491L. Veigl—11711113
LSep 5 · 18:15J. Senk—7890L. Veigl—1111113
WJul 22 · 14:45J. Senk—91117113L. Veigl—1131581
WJun 18 · 12:34J. Senk—11711113L. Veigl—511791
WJun 18 · 10:30J. Senk—591113113L. Veigl—111171182
LFeb 28 · 11:45J. Senk—9612101L. Veigl—111110123
LJan 17 · 10:45J. Senk—11711982L. Veigl—811711113
WAug 15 · 08:12J. Senk—1111113L. Veigl—9790
LAug 15 · 05:15J. Senk—1257111L. Veigl—101111133
LJul 28 · 21:00J. Senk—61161122L. Veigl—119117113
J. Senk10
LSep 10 · 07:00J. Senk1.916101415122R. Pisa1.8011121213143WSep 9 · 16:54J. Senk1.831111123M. Myler1.8384100WSep 9 · 15:45M. Myler1.8312163952J. Senk1.8310141111113WSep 9 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67711991J. Senk2.1011611113WSep 9 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0091271192J. Senk1.731110115113WSep 8 · 16:49J. Senk1.8011711113O. Mezera1.91711281LSep 8 · 15:45V. Grubr1.7351211113J. Senk2.001110791WSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113WSep 8 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0071110101J. Senk1.7311312123LSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113
L. Veigl10
WSep 8 · 12:58L. Veigl1.911111113T. Liska1.807690WSep 8 · 12:00T. Liska2.101015771L. Veigl1.67121311113WSep 8 · 11:00M. Makara1.91138991L. Veigl1.80111111113WSep 8 · 09:30R. Pisa2.2081111932L. Veigl1.61117311113LSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113LSep 7 · 07:15P. Wasik1.611211113L. Veigl2.2010850WSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951WSep 7 · 05:45L. Veigl2.50111111113L. Heinzl1.50781361WSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153
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