TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105293
Played Sep 9Finished
Jakub Senk
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181141210––––
Matej Myler
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJakub Senk above · Matej Myler below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 56 set 3, 12-10
56 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Senk 2–0 Matej Myler Matej Myler has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Senk beat Myler 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Myler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenk 1.83 / Myler 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Myler)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13105293
Senk1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Myler1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSenk2wins
AwayMyler0wins
2 of 2 to a deciderSenk leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSenkMylerS − MBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match54.044.5+9.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenkMylerBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 288 vs 28 / 5952.4%47.5%151 / 288 vs 28 / 59Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MylerSenk 1.83/Myler 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.4%
Myler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Senk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 9 · 15:45J. Senk—10141111113M. Myler—12163952
WJul 5 · 13:45J. Senk—1111810113M. Myler—78111262
J. Senk10
WSep 9 · 15:45M. Myler1.8312163952J. Senk1.8310141111113WSep 9 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67711991J. Senk2.1011611113WSep 9 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0091271192J. Senk1.731110115113WSep 8 · 16:49J. Senk1.8011711113O. Mezera1.91711281LSep 8 · 15:45V. Grubr1.7351211113J. Senk2.001110791WSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113WSep 8 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0071110101J. Senk1.7311312123LSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:15L. Veigl1.801111113J. Senk1.917890
M. Myler10
LSep 9 · 15:45M. Myler1.8312163952J. Senk1.8310141111113WSep 9 · 14:15O. Mezera1.83115101182M. Myler1.83811127113WSep 9 · 13:45S. Rejent1.7378111192M. Myler2.00111156113WSep 7 · 16:48M. Makara1.83119111182M. Myler1.83711132113LSep 7 · 15:15O. Mezera1.831110116113M. Myler1.8391291182WSep 7 · 14:45M. Myler2.10111110113M. Makara1.67681291WSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871WAug 27 · 12:18M. Myler2.201111123Z. Vasatko1.6194100LAug 27 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.101211113M. Myler1.6710920WAug 27 · 10:45M. Myler1.5711911173L. Kolman2.259119151
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