TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105784
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Senk
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111012141215131214
Radovan Pisa
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:51 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeRadovan Pisa to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Senk above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 119 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Radovan Pisa at 54.7%
119 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Senk 6–5 Radovan Pisa Radovan Pisa has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:51What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pisa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senk 1620 vs Pisa 1705
Pisa
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senk 80% vs Pisa 40%
Senk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senk 70% vs Pisa 50%
Senk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Senk -1 · Pisa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pisa) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenk 1.91 / Pisa 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Pisa)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105784
Senk1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 28 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back44% 15 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back28% 5 of 18
Pisa1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 81 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it66% 58 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenk5wins
AwayPisa5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenk66.7%2 of 3
AwayPisa57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senk3Pisa7n = 10Pisa took 7 of 10
S2Senk6Pisa4n = 10Senk took 6 of 10
S3Senk7Pisa3n = 10Senk took 7 of 10
S4Senk3Pisa5n = 8Pisa took 5 of 8
S5Senk2Pisa2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenkPisaS − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.941.4−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenkPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 291 vs 385 / 79352.2%48.6%152 / 291 vs 385 / 793Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisaSenk 1.91/Pisa 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Pisa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 07:00J. Senk—6101415122R. Pisa—11121213143
LAug 23 · 12:53J. Senk—571191R. Pisa—11119113
LAug 23 · 09:45J. Senk—81111972R. Pisa—117411113
LJul 28 · 10:00J. Senk—117671R. Pisa—91111113
WJul 14 · 09:45J. Senk—71412113R. Pisa—11121061
LJun 18 · 09:30J. Senk—99110R. Pisa—1111133
WApr 7 · 11:45J. Senk—1511510143R. Pisa—1391112122
WJan 3 · 13:12J. Senk—71111113R. Pisa—118971
WJan 3 · 10:45J. Senk—1111113R. Pisa—2860
WDec 6 · 20:15J. Senk—511114113R. Pisa—11651192
J. Senk10
LSep 10 · 06:00J. Senk2.1079100L. Veigl1.671111123WSep 9 · 16:54J. Senk1.831111123M. Myler1.8384100WSep 9 · 15:45M. Myler1.8312163952J. Senk1.8310141111113WSep 9 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67711991J. Senk2.1011611113WSep 9 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0091271192J. Senk1.731110115113WSep 8 · 16:49J. Senk1.8011711113O. Mezera1.91711281LSep 8 · 15:45V. Grubr1.7351211113J. Senk2.001110791WSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113WSep 8 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0071110101J. Senk1.7311312123LSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113
R. Pisa10
WSep 10 · 05:30M. Kocvara1.8311891192R. Pisa1.83811119113LSep 8 · 12:29M. Makara1.91111185123R. Pisa1.80891111102WSep 8 · 11:30R. Pisa1.67111111123M. Makara2.107713101LSep 8 · 10:30R. Pisa1.6197111182T. Liska2.20111184113LSep 8 · 09:30R. Pisa2.2081111932L. Veigl1.61117311113WSep 7 · 12:54R. Pisa1.801113113A. Radkovsky1.9181190LSep 7 · 11:45M. Vyskocil1.671081111123R. Pisa2.10121167102WSep 7 · 10:45L. Adam1.501061161R. Pisa2.5012119113WSep 7 · 09:15A. Radkovsky1.9167111352R. Pisa1.801111711113LSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113
Upcoming Matches
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