TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122032
Played Sep 13Finished
Martin Kocvara
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012411911––––
Radovan Pisa
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Kocvara to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Kocvara above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Martin Kocvara at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Martin Kocvara 10–5 Radovan Pisa Radovan Pisa has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:27What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Pisa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-5 in 15
Kocvara
Wrong
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocvara 1710 vs Pisa 1695
Kocvara
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocvara 60% vs Pisa 80%
Pisa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocvara 50% vs Pisa 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocvara -1 · Pisa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kocvara)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocvara 1.83 / Pisa 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kocvara)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13122032
Kocvara1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Pisa1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKocvara6wins
AwayPisa4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKocvara leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocvara66.7%4 of 6
AwayPisa50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocvara6Pisa4n = 10Kocvara took 6 of 10
S2Kocvara5Pisa5n = 10split evenly
S3Kocvara4Pisa6n = 10Pisa took 6 of 10
S4Kocvara5Pisa4n = 9Kocvara took 5 of 9
S5Kocvara2Pisa1n = 3Kocvara took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKocvaraPisaK − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.440.4−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocvaraPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 141 vs 382 / 78757.5%48.5%81 / 141 vs 382 / 787Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocvaraKocvara 1.83/Pisa 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kocvara · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 09:03M. Kocvara4241115123R. Pisa4111713101
LSep 10 · 05:30M. Kocvara4811891192R. Pisa50811119113
WAug 23 · 11:45M. Kocvara42411115113R. Pisa4611881182
LAug 12 · 06:15M. Kocvara311161041R. Pisa4281112113
LAug 10 · 09:45M. Kocvara2257100R. Pisa341111123
WAug 5 · 12:19M. Kocvara4111117123R. Pisa378811101
LAug 5 · 11:15M. Kocvara23321171R. Pisa4111118113
WJul 26 · 12:49M. Kocvara491161110113R. Pisa4991191282
WJul 26 · 10:45M. Kocvara44111111113R. Pisa31641381
WJul 25 · 10:15M. Kocvara4211128113R. Pisa334101181
M. Kocvara10
WSep 13 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.8311101161M. Kocvara1.8311213113LSep 13 · 17:45M. Kocvara2.634530J. Sr1.441111113WSep 10 · 09:03R. Pisa1.8311713101M. Kocvara1.8341115123WSep 10 · 07:30M. Kocvara1.611111113J. Senk2.209260WSep 10 · 06:30M. Kocvara1.80111110113L. Veigl1.91881291LSep 10 · 05:30M. Kocvara1.8311891192R. Pisa1.83811119113WSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481LSep 6 · 10:45L. Adam1.801111113M. Kocvara1.919480WSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113
R. Pisa10
LSep 13 · 19:45J. Sr1.4012129113R. Pisa2.7510101131WSep 13 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.731111115112R. Pisa2.00913211133LSep 10 · 09:03R. Pisa1.8311713101M. Kocvara1.8341115123WSep 10 · 08:00L. Veigl1.6710118101R. Pisa2.1012711123WSep 10 · 07:00J. Senk1.916101415122R. Pisa1.8011121213143WSep 10 · 05:30M. Kocvara1.8311891192R. Pisa1.83811119113LSep 8 · 12:29M. Makara1.91111185123R. Pisa1.80891111102WSep 8 · 11:30R. Pisa1.67111111123M. Makara2.107713101LSep 8 · 10:30R. Pisa1.6197111182T. Liska2.20111184113LSep 8 · 09:30R. Pisa2.2081111932L. Veigl1.61117311113
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