TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121759
Played Sep 13Finished
Marek Vyskocil
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11911131125111113
Radovan Pisa
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeMarek Vyskocil to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Vyskocil above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 97 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Marek Vyskocil at 56.2%
97 points played in total.
H2H Marek Vyskocil 9–6 Radovan Pisa Radovan Pisa has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:38What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vyskocil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Vyskocil
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1687 vs Pisa 1706
Pisa
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 40% vs Pisa 60%
Pisa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 40% vs Pisa 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil -1 · Pisa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.73 / Pisa 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vyskocil)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13121759
Vyskocil1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 63 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it74% 46 of 62
Pisa2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 78 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back28% 27 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVyskocil7wins
AwayPisa3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVyskocil leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil80%4 of 5
AwayPisa40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil5Pisa5n = 10split evenly
S2Vyskocil7Pisa3n = 10Vyskocil took 7 of 10
S3Vyskocil5Pisa5n = 10split evenly
S4Vyskocil6Pisa0n = 6Vyskocil took 6 of 6
S5Vyskocil2Pisa2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVyskocilPisaV − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.535.4+5.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 408 vs 386 / 79454.2%48.6%221 / 408 vs 386 / 794Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.73/Pisa 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 11:45M. Vyskocil521081111123R. Pisa46121167102
WSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil4391112113R. Pisa251131011
WAug 17 · 14:45M. Vyskocil4111136113R. Pisa366111181
LAug 4 · 09:45M. Vyskocil2467110R. Pisa351111133
WAug 3 · 05:15M. Vyskocil48811711113R. Pisa4311511972
WJul 27 · 05:45M. Vyskocil331111113R. Pisa218580
LJul 23 · 16:24M. Vyskocil50131381152R. Pisa561511118113
WJul 23 · 14:45M. Vyskocil361411113R. Pisa2512850
LJul 23 · 08:13M. Vyskocil4511991152R. Pisa46511118113
WJul 23 · 05:45M. Vyskocil331111113R. Pisa216870
M. Vyskocil10
LSep 13 · 11:15M. Vyskocil1.6151111772O. Mezera2.20117711103WSep 13 · 10:15M. Vyskocil1.7311119113T. Liska2.00591121LSep 13 · 09:15M. Vyskocil2.1010560M. Makara1.671211113LSep 7 · 12:23M. Vyskocil2.6311681182L. Adam1.44811117113WSep 7 · 11:45M. Vyskocil1.671081111123R. Pisa2.10121167102LSep 7 · 10:15A. Radkovsky2.257111511113M. Vyskocil1.5711817872LSep 7 · 09:45L. Adam1.671113113M. Vyskocil2.1061180WSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113LSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123
R. Pisa10
LSep 10 · 09:03R. Pisa1.8311713101M. Kocvara1.8341115123WSep 10 · 08:00L. Veigl1.6710118101R. Pisa2.1012711123WSep 10 · 07:00J. Senk1.916101415122R. Pisa1.8011121213143WSep 10 · 05:30M. Kocvara1.8311891192R. Pisa1.83811119113LSep 8 · 12:29M. Makara1.91111185123R. Pisa1.80891111102WSep 8 · 11:30R. Pisa1.67111111123M. Makara2.107713101LSep 8 · 10:30R. Pisa1.6197111182T. Liska2.20111184113LSep 8 · 09:30R. Pisa2.2081111932L. Veigl1.61117311113WSep 7 · 12:54R. Pisa1.801113113A. Radkovsky1.9181190LSep 7 · 11:45M. Vyskocil1.671081111123R. Pisa2.10121167102
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