TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122296
Played Sep 13Finished
Marek Vyskocil
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115119911112––
Tomas Liska
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Vyskocil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Vyskocil above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 69 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Marek Vyskocil at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Marek Vyskocil 5–7 Tomas Liska Marek Vyskocil has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:32What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vyskocil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Liska
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1682 vs Liska 1690
Liska
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 20% vs Liska 40%
Liska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 50% vs Liska 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil -2 · Liska -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vyskocil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.73 / Liska 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vyskocil)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13122296
Vyskocil1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 63 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it74% 46 of 62
Liska2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 79 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back19% 22 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVyskocil5wins
AwayLiska5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil71.4%5 of 7
AwayLiska100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil7Liska3n = 10Vyskocil took 7 of 10
S2Vyskocil6Liska4n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S3Vyskocil4Liska6n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S4Vyskocil6Liska2n = 8Vyskocil took 6 of 8
S5Vyskocil0Liska4n = 4Liska took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVyskocilLiskaV − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.339.6+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 406 vs 404 / 87454.2%46.2%220 / 406 vs 404 / 874Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.440.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.73/Liska 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 08:48M. Vyskocil4111811113T. Liska37911981
LSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil29101090T. Liska351212113
WSep 3 · 20:43M. Vyskocil4011126113T. Liska369101161
LSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil47117117112T. Liska50711811133
WAug 20 · 13:00M. Vyskocil4011117113T. Liska34991151
WAug 20 · 12:00M. Vyskocil331111113T. Liska227960
LAug 3 · 16:13M. Vyskocil51121151492T. Liska561481112113
LAug 3 · 13:15M. Vyskocil4511115992T. Liska45481111113
WJul 27 · 08:48M. Vyskocil3911611113T. Liska32711951
LJul 27 · 07:45M. Vyskocil3841181142T. Liska49117119113
M. Vyskocil10
LSep 13 · 09:15M. Vyskocil2.1010560M. Makara1.671211113LSep 7 · 12:23M. Vyskocil2.6311681182L. Adam1.44811117113WSep 7 · 11:45M. Vyskocil1.671081111123R. Pisa2.10121167102LSep 7 · 10:15A. Radkovsky2.257111511113M. Vyskocil1.5711817872LSep 7 · 09:45L. Adam1.671113113M. Vyskocil2.1061180WSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113LSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123WSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113WSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113
T. Liska10
WSep 13 · 09:45O. Mezera3.0071181282T. Liska1.361171110113LSep 8 · 12:58L. Veigl1.911111113T. Liska1.807690LSep 8 · 12:00T. Liska2.101015771L. Veigl1.67121311113WSep 8 · 10:30R. Pisa1.6197111182T. Liska2.20111184113WSep 8 · 10:00M. Makara1.6761170T. Liska2.101113113LSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113WSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113WSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113
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