TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122400
Played Sep 13Finished
Ondrej Mezera
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111178111210811
Tomas Liska
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:03 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeTomas Liska to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Mezera above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 96 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Liska at 71.6%
96 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Mezera 0–3 Tomas Liska Ondrej Mezera has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Liska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Liska
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mezera 1583 vs Liska 1690
Liska
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mezera 20% vs Liska 40%
Liska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mezera 50% vs Liska 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mezera +1 · Liska -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Liska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Liska form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMezera 3.00 / Liska 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Liska)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13122400
Mezera3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 112 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back33% 47 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back18% 13 of 73
Liska1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 41 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it67% 29 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMezera0wins
AwayLiska3wins
2 of 3 to a deciderLiska leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mezera1Liska2n = 3Liska took 2 of 3
S2Mezera1Liska2n = 3Liska took 2 of 3
S3Mezera0Liska3n = 3Liska took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMezeraLiskaM − LBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match36.045.0−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMezeraLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 819 vs 404 / 87450.1%46.2%410 / 819 vs 404 / 874Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.740.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LiskaMezera 3.00/Liska 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Liska · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Liska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 10 · 13:15O. Mezera4111941162T. Liska49911117113
LJul 9 · 13:15O. Mezera4151271162T. Liska501110117113
LFeb 2 · 12:15O. Mezera26511100T. Liska361113123
O. Mezera10
WSep 9 · 16:23S. Rejent1.5311991162O. Mezera2.38311119113LSep 9 · 15:15O. Mezera2.259770S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 9 · 14:15O. Mezera1.83115101182M. Myler1.83811127113LSep 9 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0091271192J. Senk1.731110115113LSep 8 · 16:49J. Senk1.8011711113O. Mezera1.91711281WSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38911911113S. Rejent1.5311911962WSep 8 · 14:15O. Mezera2.20117118113V. Grubr1.6171161182LSep 8 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0071110101J. Senk1.7311312123WSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent1.5071590O. Mezera2.501117113WSep 7 · 15:15O. Mezera1.831110116113M. Myler1.8391291182
T. Liska10
LSep 13 · 10:15M. Vyskocil1.7311119113T. Liska2.00591121LSep 8 · 12:58L. Veigl1.911111113T. Liska1.807690LSep 8 · 12:00T. Liska2.101015771L. Veigl1.67121311113WSep 8 · 10:30R. Pisa1.6197111182T. Liska2.20111184113WSep 8 · 10:00M. Makara1.6761170T. Liska2.101113113LSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113WSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113WSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113
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