TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089385
Played Sep 7Finished
Lukas Adam
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161311118––––
Marek Vyskocil
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Vyskocil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Adam above · Marek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 60 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Marek Vyskocil at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Adam 1–0 Marek Vyskocil Marek Vyskocil has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:22What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Adam
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Adam 1743 vs Vyskocil 1736
Adam
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 60% vs Vyskocil 80%
Vyskocil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 70% vs Vyskocil 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam -1 · Vyskocil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Adam) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 1.67 / Vyskocil 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Adam)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089385
Adam1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 68 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it89% 49 of 55
Vyskocil2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog53% won 32 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back32% 10 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAdam1wins
AwayVyskocil0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderAdam leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAdamVyskocilA − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.042.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime283 / 551 vs 224 / 40951.4%54.8%283 / 551 vs 224 / 409Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.040.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamAdam 1.67/Vyskocil 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 23 · 06:45L. Adam—6111110113M. Vyskocil—11551292
L. Adam10
LSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113WSep 6 · 10:45L. Adam1.801111113M. Kocvara1.919480LSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 4 · 12:59L. Adam2.201111113M. Kocvara1.617480WSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:00M. Kocvara1.67115211113L. Adam2.1031111742WSep 4 · 09:30V. Burylov1.801141151L. Adam1.9181113113WSep 3 · 08:44M. Stibor1.67681491L. Adam2.10111112113WSep 3 · 07:15L. Adam1.731151211113M. Makara2.0091114772
M. Vyskocil10
LSep 7 · 10:15A. Radkovsky2.257111511113M. Vyskocil1.5711817872WSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113LSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123WSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113WSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113LSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123LSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133WSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011LSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282
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