TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122006
Played Sep 13Finished
Marek Vyskocil
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012511611––––
Michal Makara
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Makara to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Vyskocil above · Michal Makara below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 55 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Michal Makara at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Marek Vyskocil 10–11 Michal Makara Marek Vyskocil has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:19What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Makara
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1710 vs Makara 1648
Vyskocil
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 40% vs Makara 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 50% vs Makara 70%
Makara
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil -1 · Makara -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Makara)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makara form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 2.10 / Makara 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Makara)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13122006
Vyskocil2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 28 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back36% 10 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10
Makara1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 38 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it69% 27 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVyskocil4wins
AwayMakara6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMakara leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil66.7%2 of 3
AwayMakara71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil3Makara7n = 10Makara took 7 of 10
S2Vyskocil6Makara4n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S3Vyskocil3Makara7n = 10Makara took 7 of 10
S4Vyskocil2Makara6n = 8Makara took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVyskocilMakaraV − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.837.9−2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime225 / 413 vs 502 / 104754.5%48%225 / 413 vs 502 / 1047Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MakaraVyskocil 2.10/Makara 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Makara · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Makara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 13:15M. Vyskocil48117118113M. Makara4031181172
LAug 20 · 10:30M. Vyskocil2679100M. Makara341111123
LAug 14 · 11:45M. Vyskocil32711771M. Makara3711411113
LAug 4 · 10:15M. Vyskocil229760M. Makara331111113
LAug 3 · 14:15M. Vyskocil27511381M. Makara4111811113
WAug 3 · 08:43M. Vyskocil4291111113M. Makara33115981
LAug 3 · 07:45M. Vyskocil32911931M. Makara3911611113
LJul 30 · 06:15M. Vyskocil30118471M. Makara4071111113
WJan 26 · 13:26M. Vyskocil541111811133M. Makara46561113112
WJan 26 · 10:15M. Vyskocil45101111133M. Makara361267111
M. Vyskocil10
LSep 7 · 12:23M. Vyskocil2.6311681182L. Adam1.44811117113WSep 7 · 11:45M. Vyskocil1.671081111123R. Pisa2.10121167102LSep 7 · 10:15A. Radkovsky2.257111511113M. Vyskocil1.5711817872LSep 7 · 09:45L. Adam1.671113113M. Vyskocil2.1061180WSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113LSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123WSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113WSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113LSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123
M. Makara10
LSep 12 · 20:45M. Makara1.8341010D. Gasparovic1.831112113WSep 12 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.737990M. Makara2.001111113LSep 12 · 18:45J. Sr1.57114911113M. Makara2.2531111672WSep 12 · 17:15D. Gasparovic1.446890M. Makara2.631111113LSep 12 · 12:46M. Makara1.8312940L. Svoboda1.831411113WSep 12 · 11:45L. Svoboda1.50116561M. Makara2.5081111113WSep 12 · 10:45V. Burylov1.80111071182M. Makara1.91612119113WSep 12 · 09:15A. Snr1.6711611982M. Makara2.10611511113WSep 11 · 16:24M. Makara2.25111199113A. Snr1.5768111172WSep 11 · 15:45L. Adam1.67911912102M. Makara2.101171110123
Upcoming Matches
M. Vyskocil
M. Makara
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.