TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13120130
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Makara
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214911411––––
Lukas Svoboda
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMichal Makara above · Lukas Svoboda below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 61 set 3, 4-11
61 points played in total.
H2H Michal Makara 3–7 Lukas Svoboda Michal Makara has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Makara beat Svoboda 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakara 1.83 / Svoboda 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svoboda)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13120130
Makara1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Svoboda1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakara3wins
AwaySvoboda7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSvoboda leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakara33.3%1 of 3
AwaySvoboda71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makara3Svoboda7n = 10Svoboda took 7 of 10
S2Makara4Svoboda6n = 10Svoboda took 6 of 10
S3Makara6Svoboda4n = 10Makara took 6 of 10
S4Makara4Svoboda3n = 7Makara took 4 of 7
S5Makara1Svoboda4n = 5Svoboda took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakaraSvobodaM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.441.0−3.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakaraSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime500 / 1043 vs 75 / 16747.9%44.9%500 / 1043 vs 75 / 167Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaMakara 1.83/Svoboda 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 11:45M. Makara4181111113L. Svoboda28116561
LJul 6 · 14:45M. Makara169610L. Svoboda331111113
LJun 22 · 08:18M. Makara43111061152L. Svoboda46512117113
LJun 22 · 05:15M. Makara45111112832L. Svoboda50681411113
LJun 21 · 10:15M. Makara228590L. Svoboda331111113
WFeb 19 · 08:15M. Makara331111113L. Svoboda239860
LSep 1 · 06:45M. Makara49105141282L. Svoboda5612111210113
WAug 24 · 20:45M. Makara47711116123L. Svoboda45116711102
LAug 24 · 19:45M. Makara321041441L. Svoboda46121112113
LJan 20 · 06:15M. Makara46511111182L. Svoboda50111378113
M. Makara10
WSep 12 · 11:45L. Svoboda1.50116561M. Makara2.5081111113WSep 12 · 10:45V. Burylov1.80111071182M. Makara1.91612119113WSep 12 · 09:15A. Snr1.6711611982M. Makara2.10611511113WSep 11 · 16:24M. Makara2.25111199113A. Snr1.5768111172WSep 11 · 15:45L. Adam1.67911912102M. Makara2.101171110123LSep 11 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.44111211113M. Makara2.63614451LSep 11 · 13:15A. Snr1.671111113M. Makara2.105850WSep 8 · 12:29M. Makara1.91111185123R. Pisa1.80891111102LSep 8 · 11:30R. Pisa1.67111111123M. Makara2.107713101LSep 8 · 11:00M. Makara1.91138991L. Veigl1.80111111113
L. Svoboda10
LSep 12 · 11:45L. Svoboda1.50116561M. Makara2.5081111113WSep 12 · 10:15A. Snr1.838960L. Svoboda1.831111113WSep 12 · 09:45V. Burylov1.9110590L. Svoboda1.801211103LSep 11 · 08:13L. Dobias1.6111117133L. Svoboda2.207911111LSep 11 · 07:15M. Stibor1.801111114123L. Svoboda1.91813511102LSep 11 · 06:45L. Svoboda1.9161311562L. Adam1.801111811113WSep 11 · 05:45L. Svoboda2.25115129113L. Dobias1.57511101142WSep 10 · 16:44M. Zelinka1.4010690L. Svoboda2.751211113LSep 10 · 15:45L. Svoboda2.503990M. Zelinka1.501111113LSep 10 · 14:15S. Rejent1.91111285133L. Svoboda1.809101111112
Upcoming Matches
M. Makara
L. Svoboda
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