TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116971
Played Sep 12Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012511910––––
Lukas Svoboda
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Burylov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Lukas Svoboda below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-10
Point 57 set 3, 9-10 — our read held Volodymyr Burylov at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 2–1 Lukas Svoboda Lukas Svoboda has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burylov 1767 vs Svoboda 1637
Burylov
Wrong
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burylov 80% vs Svoboda 40%
Burylov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burylov 60% vs Svoboda 30%
Burylov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burylov +3 · Svoboda -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Burylov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.91 / Svoboda 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Burylov)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13116971
Burylov1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog55% won 54 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back39% 20 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back24% 6 of 25
Svoboda1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 23 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBurylov2wins
AwaySvoboda1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBurylov leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov2Svoboda1n = 3Burylov took 2 of 3
S2Burylov1Svoboda2n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
S3Burylov2Svoboda1n = 3Burylov took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricBurylovSvobodaB − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match35.332.0+3.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 395 vs 72 / 16350.4%44.2%199 / 395 vs 72 / 163Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovBurylov 1.91/Svoboda 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 15 · 20:13V. Burylov—1111113L. Svoboda—6850
LJul 15 · 18:45V. Burylov—8590L. Svoboda—1111113
WAug 26 · 15:45V. Burylov—129118113L. Svoboda—101171152
V. Burylov10
WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692
L. Svoboda10
WSep 12 · 10:15A. Snr1.838960L. Svoboda1.831111113LSep 11 · 08:13L. Dobias1.6111117133L. Svoboda2.207911111LSep 11 · 07:15M. Stibor1.801111114123L. Svoboda1.91813511102LSep 11 · 06:45L. Svoboda1.9161311562L. Adam1.801111811113WSep 11 · 05:45L. Svoboda2.25115129113L. Dobias1.57511101142WSep 10 · 16:44M. Zelinka1.4010690L. Svoboda2.751211113LSep 10 · 15:45L. Svoboda2.503990M. Zelinka1.501111113LSep 10 · 14:15S. Rejent1.91111285133L. Svoboda1.809101111112LSep 10 · 13:45J. Sr1.6714119113L. Svoboda2.101291151WSep 9 · 12:19L. Dobias1.5381410131L. Svoboda2.38111212153
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