Ladislav Dobias vs Lukas Svoboda 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13113853

Played Sep 11Finished

Ladislav Dobias

Home

1.62

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1171197111311––

Lukas Svoboda

Away

2.20

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingLadislav Dobias above · Lukas Svoboda below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 13-11

Point 80 set 4, 13-11

80 points played in total.

H2H Ladislav Dobias 7–6 Lukas Svoboda Lukas Svoboda has won 6 of their 13 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Dobias)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dobias form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDobias 1.61 / Svoboda 2.20

Signal prob.59% / 42%

Edge (Dobias)+0.8pp

Setka Cup · #13113853

Dobias1.61

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite59% won 207 of 354

Up 2–0, closes it94% 67 of 71

Up 1–0, closes it80% 147 of 183

Svoboda2.20

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog42% won 17 of 41

Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDobias6wins

AwaySvoboda4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderDobias leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDobias75%3 of 4

AwaySvoboda50%3 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dobias4Svoboda6n = 10Svoboda took 6 of 10

S2Dobias9Svoboda1n = 10Dobias took 9 of 10

S3Dobias4Svoboda6n = 10Svoboda took 6 of 10

S4Dobias5Svoboda4n = 9Dobias took 5 of 9

S5Dobias2Svoboda2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricDobiasSvobodaD − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.539.9+2.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDobiasSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 746 vs 72 / 16255.5%44.4%414 / 746 vs 72 / 162Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match41.138.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Dobias

Dobias 1.61/Svoboda 2.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

58.5%

Dobias · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Dobias won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 11 · 05:45L. Dobias—511101142L. Svoboda—115129113

LSep 9 · 12:19L. Dobias—81410131L. Svoboda—111212153

WSep 9 · 09:15L. Dobias—101111123L. Svoboda—1277101

WAug 6 · 10:45L. Dobias—1111911113L. Svoboda—13911882

LAug 5 · 08:44L. Dobias—11711362L. Svoboda—811911113

LAug 5 · 05:45L. Dobias—811861L. Svoboda—11611113

WAug 4 · 16:14L. Dobias—131111113L. Svoboda—153771

WAug 4 · 13:15L. Dobias—11119113L. Svoboda—681181

WAug 4 · 05:45L. Dobias—1111113L. Svoboda—7790

WAug 3 · 20:48L. Dobias—1111710113L. Svoboda—86111222

L. Dobias10

LSep 11 · 07:45L. Dobias1.737990L. Adam2.001111113 WSep 11 · 06:15M. Stibor2.1064100L. Dobias1.671111123 LSep 11 · 05:45L. Svoboda2.25115129113L. Dobias1.57511101142 LSep 10 · 08:53M. Zelinka2.0012116113L. Dobias1.731091191 WSep 10 · 07:45L. Dobias1.7311117113M. Zelinka2.00871191 WSep 10 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8351170L. Dobias1.831113113 LSep 10 · 05:45L. Heinzl2.25111011113L. Dobias1.57812981 LSep 9 · 12:19L. Dobias1.5381410131L. Svoboda2.38111212153 LSep 9 · 11:45M. Zelinka2.101111113L. Dobias1.678970 LSep 9 · 10:45M. Stibor2.2011811113L. Dobias1.61311691

L. Svoboda10

LSep 11 · 07:15M. Stibor1.801111114123L. Svoboda1.91813511102 LSep 11 · 06:45L. Svoboda1.9161311562L. Adam1.801111811113 WSep 11 · 05:45L. Svoboda2.25115129113L. Dobias1.57511101142 WSep 10 · 16:44M. Zelinka1.4010690L. Svoboda2.751211113 LSep 10 · 15:45L. Svoboda2.503990M. Zelinka1.501111113 LSep 10 · 14:15S. Rejent1.91111285133L. Svoboda1.809101111112 LSep 10 · 13:45J. Sr1.6714119113L. Svoboda2.101291151 WSep 9 · 12:19L. Dobias1.5381410131L. Svoboda2.38111212153 LSep 9 · 11:15L. Svoboda1.80114471M. Stibor1.9161111113 LSep 9 · 10:15L. Svoboda2.25107111182M. Zelinka1.57121196113

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