TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111185
Played Sep 11Finished
Ales Brandtl Snr
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118115––––
Michal Makara
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:33 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeAles Brandtl Snr to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Brandtl Snr above · Michal Makara below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Ales Brandtl Snr at 55.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Ales Brandtl Snr 1–1 Michal Makara Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Snr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Snr 1590 vs Makara 1631
Makara
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 40% vs Makara 20%
Snr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 40% vs Makara 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr -3 · Makara +1
Snr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Snr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makara form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 1.67 / Makara 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Snr)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111185
Snr1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite32% won 6 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it43% 6 of 14
Makara2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 172 of 376
Down 0–1, comes back25% 48 of 192
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSnr1wins
AwayMakara1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSnrMakaraS − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match43.038.0+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 31 vs 500 / 104332.3%47.9%10 / 31 vs 500 / 1043Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrSnr 1.67/Makara 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 9 · 20:18A. Snr—1111133M. Makara—49110
LJun 9 · 18:45A. Snr—111561182M. Makara—717116113
A. Snr10
LSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891LSep 4 · 19:15A. Snr2.50751191D. Gasparovic1.5011117113LSep 4 · 18:15A. Snr1.8361151152J. Sr1.83117117113WSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123LSep 3 · 18:45A. Snr1.571011731R. Pisa2.2512611113LSep 3 · 17:45A. Snr1.83119561T. Liska1.8371111113WJul 18 · 20:28A. Snr1.381111163S. Rejent2.8048140LJul 18 · 19:45A. Snr1.8395111682J. Sr1.831111314113WJul 18 · 18:15S. Rejent3.25111312892A. Snr1.3313111011113
M. Makara10
WSep 8 · 12:29M. Makara1.91111185123R. Pisa1.80891111102LSep 8 · 11:30R. Pisa1.67111111123M. Makara2.107713101LSep 8 · 11:00M. Makara1.91138991L. Veigl1.80111111113LSep 8 · 10:00M. Makara1.6761170T. Liska2.101113113LSep 7 · 16:48M. Makara1.83119111182M. Myler1.83711132113WSep 7 · 15:45S. Rejent1.6711911892M. Makara2.10911611113LSep 7 · 14:45M. Myler2.10111110113M. Makara1.67681291WSep 7 · 13:15O. Mezera2.38811611102M. Makara1.53114115123WSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113
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