TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116907
Played Sep 12Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161012711119811
Michal Makara
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Burylov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Michal Makara below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 96 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Volodymyr Burylov at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 8–8 Michal Makara Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Burylov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burylov 1749 vs Makara 1643
Burylov
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burylov 60% vs Makara 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burylov 50% vs Makara 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burylov -1 · Makara +3
Makara
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Burylov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.80 / Makara 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Burylov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13116907
Burylov1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite46% won 48 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it65% 32 of 49
Makara1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 173 of 377
Down 0–1, comes back24% 47 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurylov5wins
AwayMakara5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurylov83.3%5 of 6
AwayMakara100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov6Makara4n = 10Burylov took 6 of 10
S2Burylov3Makara7n = 10Makara took 7 of 10
S3Burylov6Makara4n = 10Burylov took 6 of 10
S4Burylov2Makara5n = 7Makara took 5 of 7
S5Burylov2Makara1n = 3Burylov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurylovMakaraB − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.937.4+2.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 396 vs 498 / 104050.3%47.9%199 / 396 vs 498 / 1040Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovBurylov 1.80/Makara 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Makara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 12:29V. Burylov—10940M. Makara—1211113
WSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov—1171114113M. Makara—61171692
WSep 1 · 06:45V. Burylov—1115113M. Makara—51350
LAug 31 · 08:54V. Burylov—91380M. Makara—1115113
LAug 31 · 06:45V. Burylov—1179101M. Makara—81111123
LAug 30 · 19:45V. Burylov—101111892M. Makara—126411113
WAug 29 · 17:45V. Burylov—129119113M. Makara—101141152
WAug 23 · 16:43V. Burylov—11611113M. Makara—311491
LAug 23 · 15:45V. Burylov—1112971M. Makara—131011113
WJul 26 · 12:19V. Burylov—11611113M. Makara—411891
V. Burylov10
LSep 12 · 11:15A. Snr2.1091113113V. Burylov1.671171191LSep 12 · 09:45V. Burylov1.9110590L. Svoboda1.801211103WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940
M. Makara10
WSep 12 · 11:45L. Svoboda1.50116561M. Makara2.5081111113WSep 12 · 09:15A. Snr1.6711611982M. Makara2.10611511113WSep 11 · 16:24M. Makara2.25111199113A. Snr1.5768111172WSep 11 · 15:45L. Adam1.67911912102M. Makara2.101171110123LSep 11 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.44111211113M. Makara2.63614451LSep 11 · 13:15A. Snr1.671111113M. Makara2.105850WSep 8 · 12:29M. Makara1.91111185123R. Pisa1.80891111102LSep 8 · 11:30R. Pisa1.67111111123M. Makara2.107713101LSep 8 · 11:00M. Makara1.91138991L. Veigl1.80111111113WSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940
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M. Makara
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