TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117466
Played Sep 12Finished
Ales Brandtl Snr
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111171311119––
Volodymyr Burylov
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Burylov to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAles Brandtl Snr above · Volodymyr Burylov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 82 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Burylov at 55.8%
82 points played in total.
H2H Ales Brandtl Snr 1–2 Volodymyr Burylov Ales Brandtl Snr has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:43What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Burylov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snr 1539 vs Burylov 1749
Burylov
Wrong
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 0% vs Burylov 60%
Burylov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 20% vs Burylov 50%
Burylov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr -5 · Burylov -1
Snr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Burylov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 2.10 / Burylov 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Burylov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13117466
Snr2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 4 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Burylov1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite46% won 48 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it65% 32 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSnr1wins
AwayBurylov2wins
Burylov leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr1Burylov2n = 3Burylov took 2 of 3
S2Snr1Burylov2n = 3Burylov took 2 of 3
S3Snr2Burylov1n = 3Snr took 2 of 3
S4Snr1Burylov2n = 3Burylov took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSnrBurylovS − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match41.041.3−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrBurylovBasisWin rate · lifetime11 / 37 vs 199 / 39629.7%50.3%11 / 37 vs 199 / 396Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovSnr 2.10/Burylov 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 4 · 20:23A. Snr—611891V. Burylov—11911113
WJul 10 · 20:13A. Snr—11911143V. Burylov—6118121
LJul 10 · 18:45A. Snr—81411111V. Burylov—11165133
A. Snr10
LSep 12 · 10:15A. Snr1.838960L. Svoboda1.831111113LSep 12 · 09:15A. Snr1.6711611982M. Makara2.10611511113LSep 11 · 16:24M. Makara2.25111199113A. Snr1.5768111172LSep 11 · 15:15A. Snr2.758115131D. Gasparovic1.4011711153LSep 11 · 14:15A. Snr2.108860L. Adam1.671111113WSep 11 · 13:15A. Snr1.671111113M. Makara2.105850LSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891LSep 4 · 19:15A. Snr2.50751191D. Gasparovic1.5011117113LSep 4 · 18:15A. Snr1.8361151152J. Sr1.83117117113WSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113
V. Burylov10
LSep 12 · 10:45V. Burylov1.80111071182M. Makara1.91612119113LSep 12 · 09:45V. Burylov1.9110590L. Svoboda1.801211103WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940
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