TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111259
Played Sep 11Finished
Ales Brandtl Snr
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811611––––
Lukas Adam
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Adam to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Brandtl Snr above · Lukas Adam below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 55 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Lukas Adam at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:47What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Adam
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Snr 1610 vs Adam 1740
Adam
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 40% vs Adam 60%
Adam
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 40% vs Adam 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr +1 · Adam -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Adam) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 2.10 / Adam 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Adam)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111259
Snr2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 4 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Adam1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 67 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it89% 47 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime11 / 32 vs 284 / 55134.4%51.5%11 / 32 vs 284 / 551Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamSnr 2.10/Adam 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adam won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Snr10
WSep 11 · 13:15A. Snr1.671111113M. Makara2.105850LSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891LSep 4 · 19:15A. Snr2.50751191D. Gasparovic1.5011117113LSep 4 · 18:15A. Snr1.8361151152J. Sr1.83117117113WSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123LSep 3 · 18:45A. Snr1.571011731R. Pisa2.2512611113LSep 3 · 17:45A. Snr1.83119561T. Liska1.8371111113WJul 18 · 20:28A. Snr1.381111163S. Rejent2.8048140LJul 18 · 19:45A. Snr1.8395111682J. Sr1.831111314113
L. Adam10
WSep 11 · 13:45D. Gasparovic1.4011981152L. Adam2.75411113113LSep 11 · 08:43L. Adam2.107750M. Stibor1.671111113WSep 11 · 07:45L. Dobias1.737990L. Adam2.001111113WSep 11 · 06:45L. Svoboda1.9161311562L. Adam1.801111811113LSep 11 · 05:15M. Stibor1.6711811113L. Adam2.10911971WSep 7 · 12:23M. Vyskocil2.6311681182L. Adam1.44811117113LSep 7 · 11:15A. Radkovsky2.00145611143L. Adam1.731211118122LSep 7 · 10:45L. Adam1.501061161R. Pisa2.5012119113WSep 7 · 09:45L. Adam1.671113113M. Vyskocil2.1061180LSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760
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