TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13113955
Played Sep 11Finished
Lukas Adam
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711511––––
Michal Stibor
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLukas Adam above · Michal Stibor below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 52 set 3, 5-11
52 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Adam 22–26 Michal Stibor Lukas Adam has won 22 of their 48 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Stibor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adam form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 2.10 / Stibor 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Stibor)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13113955
Adam2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 55 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back23% 14 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Stibor1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 70 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdam5wins
AwayStibor5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdam80%4 of 5
AwayStibor80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam5Stibor5n = 10split evenly
S2Adam7Stibor3n = 10Adam took 7 of 10
S3Adam3Stibor7n = 10Stibor took 7 of 10
S4Adam5Stibor5n = 10split evenly
S5Adam3Stibor3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamStiborA − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.742.3−0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamStiborBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 554 vs 174 / 32751.6%53.2%286 / 554 vs 174 / 327Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StiborAdam 2.10/Stibor 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Stibor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stibor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 05:15L. Adam—911971M. Stibor—11811113
WSep 3 · 08:44L. Adam—111112113M. Stibor—681491
LSep 3 · 05:15L. Adam—21111562M. Stibor—117511113
WAug 26 · 05:45L. Adam—11711113M. Stibor—711981
LAug 20 · 07:45L. Adam—711781M. Stibor—11611113
WAug 19 · 09:45L. Adam—511411113M. Stibor—11711892
LJul 28 · 11:45L. Adam—126121182M. Stibor—1411105113
WJul 21 · 06:15L. Adam—166411113M. Stibor—141111322
WJul 14 · 06:30L. Adam—111166113M. Stibor—39111162
LJun 18 · 08:43L. Adam—111166102M. Stibor—861111123
L. Adam10
WSep 11 · 07:45L. Dobias1.737990L. Adam2.001111113WSep 11 · 06:45L. Svoboda1.9161311562L. Adam1.801111811113LSep 11 · 05:15M. Stibor1.6711811113L. Adam2.10911971WSep 7 · 12:23M. Vyskocil2.6311681182L. Adam1.44811117113LSep 7 · 11:15A. Radkovsky2.00145611143L. Adam1.731211118122LSep 7 · 10:45L. Adam1.501061161R. Pisa2.5012119113WSep 7 · 09:45L. Adam1.671113113M. Vyskocil2.1061180LSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113WSep 6 · 10:45L. Adam1.801111113M. Kocvara1.919480
M. Stibor10
WSep 11 · 07:15M. Stibor1.801111114123L. Svoboda1.91813511102LSep 11 · 06:15M. Stibor2.1064100L. Dobias1.671111123WSep 11 · 05:15M. Stibor1.6711811113L. Adam2.10911971LSep 9 · 12:48M. Zelinka1.6781111113M. Stibor2.10116671WSep 9 · 11:15L. Svoboda1.80114471M. Stibor1.9161111113WSep 9 · 10:45M. Stibor2.2011811113L. Dobias1.61311691WSep 9 · 09:45M. Stibor2.2011811133M. Zelinka1.617111111LSep 3 · 08:44M. Stibor1.67681491L. Adam2.10111112113WSep 3 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.7381380M. Stibor2.001115113WSep 3 · 06:45M. Makara2.6311970M. Stibor1.441311113
Upcoming Matches
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