TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121825
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Makara
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111012111––––
David Gasparovic
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMichal Makara above · David Gasparovic below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 49 set 3, 1-11
49 points played in total.
H2H Michal Makara 8–13 David Gasparovic Michal Makara has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Makara beat Gasparovic 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gasparovic)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakara 1.83 / Gasparovic 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gasparovic)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13121825
Makara1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Gasparovic1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakara5wins
AwayGasparovic5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakara60%3 of 5
AwayGasparovic60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makara5Gasparovic5n = 10split evenly
S2Makara5Gasparovic5n = 10split evenly
S3Makara5Gasparovic5n = 10split evenly
S4Makara2Gasparovic6n = 8Gasparovic took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakaraGasparovicM − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.639.8−3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakaraGasparovicBasisWin rate · lifetime502 / 1046 vs 105 / 17648%59.7%502 / 1046 vs 105 / 176Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasparovicMakara 1.83/Gasparovic 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gasparovic · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gasparovic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 17:15M. Makara331111113D. Gasparovic236890
LSep 11 · 14:45M. Makara29614451D. Gasparovic45111211113
WAug 30 · 10:15M. Makara53913128113D. Gasparovic481111101152
LAug 23 · 14:45M. Makara2321470D. Gasparovic371116103
WJun 26 · 14:00M. Makara42126112113D. Gasparovic42101151152
LJun 19 · 16:33M. Makara311011371D. Gasparovic3912511113
WJun 19 · 15:30M. Makara44111011123D. Gasparovic367127101
LMay 31 · 11:00M. Makara4111107131D. Gasparovic4791211153
LMay 30 · 08:24M. Makara28115661D. Gasparovic4071111113
WMay 30 · 07:15M. Makara4251211143D. Gasparovic4111108121
M. Makara10
WSep 12 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.737990M. Makara2.001111113LSep 12 · 18:45J. Sr1.57114911113M. Makara2.2531111672WSep 12 · 17:15D. Gasparovic1.446890M. Makara2.631111113LSep 12 · 12:46M. Makara1.8312940L. Svoboda1.831411113WSep 12 · 11:45L. Svoboda1.50116561M. Makara2.5081111113WSep 12 · 10:45V. Burylov1.80111071182M. Makara1.91612119113WSep 12 · 09:15A. Snr1.6711611982M. Makara2.10611511113WSep 11 · 16:24M. Makara2.25111199113A. Snr1.5768111172WSep 11 · 15:45L. Adam1.67911912102M. Makara2.101171110123LSep 11 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.44111211113M. Makara2.63614451
D. Gasparovic10
WSep 12 · 19:15D. Gasparovic1.83111012113J. Sr1.838121061WSep 12 · 18:15D. Gasparovic2.2011115113Z. Sedivy1.61751151LSep 12 · 17:15D. Gasparovic1.446890M. Makara2.631111113LSep 11 · 16:54L. Adam2.2071111123D. Gasparovic1.611188101WSep 11 · 15:15A. Snr2.758115131D. Gasparovic1.4011711153WSep 11 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.44111211113M. Makara2.63614451LSep 11 · 13:45D. Gasparovic1.4011981152L. Adam2.75411113113LSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133
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