TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117040
Played Sep 12Finished
David Gasparovic
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11810121210116––
Jan Krames Sr
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krames Sr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Gasparovic above · Jan Krames Sr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 80 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jan Krames Sr at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H David Gasparovic 9–9 Jan Krames Sr Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:32What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gasparovic 1663 vs Sr 1751
Sr
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gasparovic 60% vs Sr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gasparovic 50% vs Sr 80%
Sr
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gasparovic +1 · Sr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGasparovic 1.83 / Sr 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sr)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13117040
Gasparovic1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Sr1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGasparovic5wins
AwaySr5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGasparovic75%3 of 4
AwaySr66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gasparovic4Sr6n = 10Sr took 6 of 10
S2Gasparovic4Sr6n = 10Sr took 6 of 10
S3Gasparovic6Sr4n = 10Gasparovic took 6 of 10
S4Gasparovic6Sr3n = 9Gasparovic took 6 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGasparovicSrG − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.236.3+0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGasparovicSrBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 175 vs 390 / 70059.4%55.7%104 / 175 vs 390 / 700Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.040.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrGasparovic 1.83/Sr 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gasparovic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 20:53D. Gasparovic26761121J. Sr4111118113
LSep 4 · 17:45D. Gasparovic44114111172J. Sr45131173113
WAug 30 · 11:15D. Gasparovic4181111113J. Sr31116681
LAug 28 · 15:45D. Gasparovic2210930J. Sr341211113
WJul 19 · 11:30D. Gasparovic4291111113J. Sr29114681
LJul 17 · 15:30D. Gasparovic29112881J. Sr4181111113
LJul 10 · 20:44D. Gasparovic35981171J. Sr4011117113
WJul 10 · 18:15D. Gasparovic4411148113J. Sr387121181
WMay 23 · 17:15D. Gasparovic45111211113J. Sr36914761
WMay 15 · 20:29D. Gasparovic44121110113J. Sr281011251
D. Gasparovic10
WSep 12 · 18:15D. Gasparovic2.2011115113Z. Sedivy1.61751151LSep 12 · 17:15D. Gasparovic1.446890M. Makara2.631111113LSep 11 · 16:54L. Adam2.2071111123D. Gasparovic1.611188101WSep 11 · 15:15A. Snr2.758115131D. Gasparovic1.4011711153WSep 11 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.44111211113M. Makara2.63614451LSep 11 · 13:45D. Gasparovic1.4011981152L. Adam2.75411113113LSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133WSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791
J. Sr10
WSep 12 · 18:45J. Sr1.57114911113M. Makara2.2531111672LSep 12 · 17:45J. Sr1.67131212382Z. Sedivy2.1011101411113WSep 10 · 16:14J. Sr1.4411126133S. Rejent2.6341011111LSep 10 · 15:15S. Rejent2.25101512113J. Sr1.5712131081WSep 10 · 14:45J. Sr1.8311126113M. Zelinka1.837101151WSep 10 · 13:45J. Sr1.6714119113L. Svoboda2.101291151WSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481WSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113WSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113
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