TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13110501
Played Sep 10Finished
Jan Krames Sr
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11412106111311––
Stepan Rejent
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingJan Krames Sr above · Stepan Rejent below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 78 set 4, 13-11
78 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krames Sr 87–48 Stepan Rejent Stepan Rejent has won 48 of their 135 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Rejent beat Sr 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rejent form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.44 / Rejent 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Sr)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13110501
Sr1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 123 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it91% 69 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it79% 102 of 130
Rejent2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 88 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr5wins
AwayRejent5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr71.4%5 of 7
AwayRejent100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr7Rejent3n = 10Sr took 7 of 10
S2Sr5Rejent5n = 10split evenly
S3Sr5Rejent5n = 10split evenly
S4Sr3Rejent4n = 7Rejent took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrRejentS − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.035.1+2.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrRejentBasisWin rate · lifetime392 / 703 vs 366 / 78155.8%46.9%392 / 703 vs 366 / 781Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSr 1.44/Rejent 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.1%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 15:15J. Sr—12131081S. Rejent—101512113
WSep 3 · 13:45J. Sr—1111113S. Rejent—5960
LAug 25 · 14:15J. Sr—111487102S. Rejent—9121111123
LAug 7 · 14:15J. Sr—89100S. Rejent—1111123
LAug 5 · 19:45J. Sr—991181S. Rejent—11119113
WAug 2 · 19:15J. Sr—11117113S. Rejent—381161
WJul 29 · 14:45J. Sr—11911113S. Rejent—211261
LJul 22 · 20:44J. Sr—4101191S. Rejent—11128113
WJul 22 · 18:15J. Sr—11114113S. Rejent—551191
WJul 21 · 18:45J. Sr—1411123S. Rejent—129100
J. Sr10
LSep 10 · 15:15S. Rejent2.25101512113J. Sr1.5712131081WSep 10 · 14:45J. Sr1.8311126113M. Zelinka1.837101151WSep 10 · 13:45J. Sr1.6714119113L. Svoboda2.101291151WSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481WSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113WSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102
S. Rejent10
WSep 10 · 15:15S. Rejent2.25101512113J. Sr1.5712131081WSep 10 · 14:15S. Rejent1.91111285133L. Svoboda1.809101111112WSep 10 · 13:15S. Rejent2.50111146133M. Zelinka1.50741111112LSep 9 · 16:23S. Rejent1.5311991162O. Mezera2.38311119113WSep 9 · 15:15O. Mezera2.259770S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 9 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67711991J. Senk2.1011611113LSep 9 · 13:45S. Rejent1.7378111192M. Myler2.00111156113LSep 8 · 16:19V. Grubr1.91611115113S. Rejent1.8011491182LSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38911911113S. Rejent1.5311911962LSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113
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