TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117879
Played Sep 12Finished
Jan Krames Sr
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
131112101214311811
Zdenek Sedivy
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krames Sr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Krames Sr above · Zdenek Sedivy below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 105 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jan Krames Sr at 54.0%
105 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krames Sr 11–7 Zdenek Sedivy Zdenek Sedivy has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 24:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-7 in 18
Sr
Wrong
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sr 1791 vs Sedivy 1665
Sr
Wrong
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sr 80% vs Sedivy 40%
Sr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sr 90% vs Sedivy 50%
Sr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sr +1 · Sedivy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sr) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.67 / Sedivy 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sr)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13117879
Sr1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite59% won 125 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it91% 72 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it79% 104 of 132
Sedivy2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog57% won 24 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back47% 9 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr6wins
AwaySedivy4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSr leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr60%3 of 5
AwaySedivy40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr5Sedivy5n = 10split evenly
S2Sr4Sedivy6n = 10Sedivy took 6 of 10
S3Sr6Sedivy4n = 10Sr took 6 of 10
S4Sr5Sedivy5n = 10split evenly
S5Sr3Sedivy1n = 4Sr took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrSedivySr − SedivyBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.242.4−1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrSedivyBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 704 vs 90 / 19755.8%45.7%393 / 704 vs 90 / 197Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.739.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSr 1.67/Sedivy 2.10
Miss
What we said
56.6%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sedivy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 4 · 16:44J. Sr29781221Z. Sedivy43111110113
WAug 4 · 13:45J. Sr50912116123Z. Sedivy471110511102
WJul 27 · 19:15J. Sr3911611113Z. Sedivy34911591
WJun 24 · 19:15J. Sr3741111113Z. Sedivy31119381
WJun 17 · 14:15J. Sr481161011103Z. Sedivy4661112892
LJun 3 · 18:15J. Sr321151061Z. Sedivy4391112113
LMay 27 · 16:23J. Sr30116581Z. Sedivy4291111113
WMay 27 · 13:45J. Sr56911159123Z. Sedivy541191311102
WMay 19 · 13:45J. Sr4211911113Z. Sedivy35911961
LMay 5 · 13:45J. Sr49101181192Z. Sedivy49126119113
J. Sr10
WSep 10 · 16:14J. Sr1.4411126133S. Rejent2.6341011111LSep 10 · 15:15S. Rejent2.25101512113J. Sr1.5712131081WSep 10 · 14:45J. Sr1.8311126113M. Zelinka1.837101151WSep 10 · 13:45J. Sr1.6714119113L. Svoboda2.101291151WSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481WSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113WSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113
Z. Sedivy10
LSep 12 · 18:15D. Gasparovic2.2011115113Z. Sedivy1.61751151WAug 16 · 20:43M. Makara1.73117791Z. Sedivy2.0081111113LAug 16 · 19:45Z. Sedivy1.576880M. Makara2.251111113LAug 16 · 18:15R. Debnar1.731111123Z. Sedivy2.0089100LAug 16 · 17:45S. Rejent2.5081111123Z. Sedivy1.501195101WAug 4 · 16:44Z. Sedivy2.10111110113J. Sr1.67781221WAug 4 · 15:45Z. Sedivy1.801211113L. Svoboda1.9110770WAug 4 · 14:15L. Dobias1.801011891Z. Sedivy1.9112811113LAug 4 · 13:45J. Sr2.00912116123Z. Sedivy1.731110511102WAug 3 · 20:18Z. Sedivy1.6111711113S. Rejent2.20611761
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