TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105588
Played Sep 10Finished
Martin Kocvara
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181181012119––
Lukas Veigl
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:15 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Veigl to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Kocvara above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Lukas Veigl at 59.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Martin Kocvara 2–0 Lukas Veigl Lukas Veigl has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:15What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kocvara
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kocvara 1734 vs Veigl 1721
Kocvara
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocvara 40% vs Veigl 100%
Veigl
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocvara 60% vs Veigl 80%
Veigl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocvara -1 · Veigl +5
Veigl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kocvara) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veigl form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocvara 1.80 / Veigl 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kocvara)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13105588
Kocvara1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 29 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Veigl1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 38 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKocvara2wins
AwayVeigl0wins
Kocvara leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKocvaraVeiglK − VBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.028.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocvaraVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 140 vs 279 / 53557.9%52.2%81 / 140 vs 279 / 535Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.640.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocvaraKocvara 1.80/Veigl 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kocvara · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kocvara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 10 · 06:30M. Kocvara—111110113L. Veigl—881291
WJul 8 · 15:45M. Kocvara—1111113L. Veigl—7660
M. Kocvara10
WSep 10 · 09:03R. Pisa1.8311713101M. Kocvara1.8341115123WSep 10 · 07:30M. Kocvara1.611111113J. Senk2.209260LSep 10 · 05:30M. Kocvara1.8311891192R. Pisa1.83811119113WSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481LSep 6 · 10:45L. Adam1.801111113M. Kocvara1.919480WSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 4 · 12:59L. Adam2.201111113M. Kocvara1.617480WSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kocvara1.67115211113L. Adam2.1031111742
L. Veigl10
WSep 10 · 08:33L. Veigl1.6714117113J. Senk2.101291191LSep 10 · 08:00L. Veigl1.6710118101R. Pisa2.1012711123WSep 10 · 06:00J. Senk2.1079100L. Veigl1.671111123WSep 8 · 12:58L. Veigl1.911111113T. Liska1.807690WSep 8 · 12:00T. Liska2.101015771L. Veigl1.67121311113WSep 8 · 11:00M. Makara1.91138991L. Veigl1.80111111113WSep 8 · 09:30R. Pisa2.2081111932L. Veigl1.61117311113LSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113LSep 7 · 07:15P. Wasik1.611211113L. Veigl2.2010850WSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951
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